Sport Picks

Finland

Ykkosliiga 2025 Salon urheilupuisto

SalPa

1 - 4

Lahti

Our Tip

Match Events

Mehmeti A.

36'

Lindholm A.

46'

Sub

Meura J. In: Helle T.

Out: Meura J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lahti in this Ykkosliiga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lahti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

SalPa

39%

Draws

31%

Lahti

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Lahti lately — more wins on the board than SalPa.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Regular Ykkosliiga 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Lahti have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%

SalPa Clean Sheet 12%

Lahti Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SalPa	Lahti
Matches Played	29	30
Wins	11	13
Draws	5	8
Losses	13	9
Goals Scored	2.13	1.5
Goals Conceded	2	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2025 Ykkosliiga

SalPa vs Lahti

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 1 - 4

1:4

Jun 28, 2025 Ykkosliiga

SalPa vs Lahti

Possession: 58% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

May 3, 2025 Ykkosliiga

Lahti vs SalPa

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

1:0

Mar 22, 2025 Club Friendly

Lahti vs SalPa

Possession: 54% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SalPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mehmeti A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.64

Avg xA / game 1.06

Lahti Compare

Top Goalscorer Lindholm A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Karkulowski T.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SalPa 29 / 100

Lahti 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SalPa Lahti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: SalPa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

SalPa scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Lahti's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

SalPa VS Lahti

2.13 Goals Scored 1.5

2 Goals Conceded 1.5

88% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 50%

63% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	27	17	7	3	54:30	58
2	TPS	27	16	5	6	66:45	53
3	Jippo	27	10	11	6	37:31	41
4	Ekenas IF	27	12	5	10	48:43	41
5	PK-35	27	11	9	7	39:30	40
6	Klubi 04	27	11	6	10	49:45	39
7	JaPS	27	7	11	9	41:50	32
8	SJK Akatemia	27	8	5	14	46:49	29
9	KaPa	27	4	8	15	41:68	20
10	SalPa	27	4	3	20	22:52	15