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SalPa vs OLS Oulu

Finland Finland

Ykkonen Salon urheilupuisto, Salo
SalPa Logo

SalPa

Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
OLS Oulu Logo

OLS Oulu

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SalPa host OLS Oulu in the Ykkonen. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. OLS Oulu have shipped 1.67 goals a game lately, while SalPa have conceded 1.63 and scored 2. Past meetings favor SalPa slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 4:1. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.63, favoring SalPa. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
SalPa
15%
Draws
39%
OLS Oulu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SalPa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SalPa come out ahead of OLS Oulu on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
SalPa Clean Sheet 14%
OLS Oulu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SalPa OLS Oulu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Ykkonen
SalPa vs OLS Oulu
4:1
Jun 6, 2026 Ykkonen
OLS Oulu vs SalPa
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SalPa 30 / 100
OLS Oulu 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SalPa OLS Oulu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SalPa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SalPa scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: OLS Oulu conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: SalPa remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SalPa VS OLS Oulu
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SalPa

(Home)
26 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
3 : 1
SalPa
19 Sept
SalPa
6 : 4
Tampere Utd
12 Sept
SalPa
4 : 3
JJK Jyvaskyla
29 Aug
KuPS Akatemia
1 : 3
SalPa
22 Aug
SalPa
4 : 1
OLS Oulu
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OLS Oulu

(Away)
26 Sept
OLS Oulu
3 : 0
Keski-Uusimaa
19 Sept
JJK Jyvaskyla
1 : 3
OLS Oulu
12 Sept
RoPS Rovaniemi
1 : 1
OLS Oulu
29 Aug
OLS Oulu
2 : 1
Tampere Utd
22 Aug
SalPa
4 : 1
OLS Oulu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tampere Utd 25 15 5 5 58:26 50
2 RoPS Rovaniemi 25 12 8 5 52:37 44
3 SalPa 25 12 6 7 52:45 42
4 OLS Oulu 25 11 8 6 50:37 41
5 Keski-Uusimaa 25 10 8 7 45:37 38
6 JJK Jyvaskyla 25 8 7 10 55:53 31
Promotion - Ykkosliiga 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Ykkosliiga (Relegation)