Sport Picks

Finland

Suomen Cup Salon urheilupuisto

TPS

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

SalPa play TPS in the Suomen Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, SalPa averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. TPS averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.38 conceded. In past meetings, SalPa won 1, TPS won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 28, 2026 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for SalPa and 1.44 for TPS. This points to a TPS double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%

SalPa

15%

Draws

44%

TPS

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: TPS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

SalPa picked up more points recently compared to TPS.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 1.44 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 79%

Over 2.5 Goals 61%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%

SalPa Clean Sheet 16%

TPS Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 71%

Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SalPa	TPS
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	10	12
Draws	5	6
Losses	14	14
Goals Scored	1.59	1.16
Goals Conceded	1.83	1.38
Expected Goals (xG)	2.75	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.13	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Suomen Cup

SalPa vs TPS

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 3 - 4

1:2

Oct 4, 2025 Ykkosliiga

SalPa vs TPS

Possession: 53% - 50% Cards: 4 - 2

1:0

Jul 18, 2025 Ykkosliiga

TPS vs SalPa

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 1 - 3

3:2

May 25, 2025 Ykkosliiga

SalPa vs TPS

Possession: 51% - 53% Cards: 0 - 2

1:2

Feb 8, 2025 Ykkosliigacup

TPS vs SalPa

Possession: 41% - 58% Cards: 0 - 0

5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SalPa Compare

Top Goalscorer Rrustemi E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.12

Avg xA / game 1.38

TPS Compare

Top Goalscorer Sihvonen A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SalPa 40 / 100

TPS 42 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SalPa TPS

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: TPS or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +24.2%

3.03

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.82

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

SalPa attacking → ← attacking TPS

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SalPa scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

TPS let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

SalPa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

TPS lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 42

2.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75

2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88