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Salthill vs St. Patricks

Ireland Ireland

League Cup 2013
Mon, May 20, 2013
2 - 3
06:45 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Curran E.
60' Event
Fadden C.
Own Goal
101' Event
Geraghty B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with St. Patricks advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Salthill
15%
Draws
48%
St. Patricks
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: St. Patricks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • St. Patricks carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 48% — that's where the model lands on St. Patricks taking it.
  • St. Patricks arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Patricks, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Salthill Clean Sheet 18%
St. Patricks Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salthill St. Patricks
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 18 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2013 League Cup
Salthill vs St. Patricks
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salthill Compare

Top Goalscorer Curran E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Geraghty B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

St. Patricks Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelly J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Durrad P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salthill 28 / 100
St. Patricks 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salthill St. Patricks

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick St. Patricks Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: St. Patricks conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Salthill stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Salthill scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Salthill VS St. Patricks
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 38%
67% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Salthill

(Home)
06 Sept
TU Dublin
2 : 2
Salthill
29 Aug
Salthill
4 : 1
Letterkenny Rovers
23 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 0
Salthill
15 Aug
Salthill
0 : 4
Galway United
19 Jul
Salthill
1 : 0
St. Michaels
Page 1 of 6

St. Patricks

(Away)
11 Sept
St. Patricks
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
St. Patricks
0 : 2
Waterford
21 Aug
Drogheda
0 : 2
St. Patricks
16 Aug
St. Patricks
3 : 2
Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Derry City -
TBD -
Mayo 1
Finn Harps 4
Bray -
TBD -
UC Dublin 2
Bohemians 3
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
Wexford -
Longford 2
Athlone 0
TBD -
Drogheda -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
TBD -
Salthill -
Dundalk 1
Shelbourne 0
TBD -
Shamrock Rovers -
Limerick -
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers 1
Waterford 2
Mervue United 2
Cockhill 1
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
1/8-finals
Derry City 2
Finn Harps 1
Bray 2
Bohemians 4
Cork City 4
Wexford 0
Longford 0
Drogheda 6
St. Patricks 3
Salthill 2
Dundalk 0
Shamrock Rovers 1
Limerick 2
Waterford 1
Mervue United 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Quarter-finals
Derry City 2
Bohemians 0
Cork City 0
Drogheda 3
St. Patricks 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Limerick 0
Sligo Rovers 4
Semi-finals
Derry City 1
Drogheda 3
Shamrock Rovers 3
Sligo Rovers 2
Final
Drogheda 0
Shamrock Rovers 2