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Saltillo vs CF Orgullo Reynosa

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
Saltillo Logo

Saltillo

2 - 1
FT
CF Orgullo Reynosa Logo

CF Orgullo Reynosa

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
de los Santos R.
63' Event
Games E.
81' Event
Fonseca C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Saltillo in this Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Saltillo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Saltillo
20%
Draws
29%
CF Orgullo Reynosa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saltillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Not much separates Saltillo and CF Orgullo Reynosa on recent form.
  • Win probability leans Saltillo's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Saltillo Clean Sheet 18%
CF Orgullo Reynosa Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saltillo CF Orgullo Reynosa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs CF Orgullo Reynosa
2:1
Oct 8, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
CF Orgullo Reynosa vs Saltillo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saltillo Compare

Top Goalscorer de los Santos R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Games E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

CF Orgullo Reynosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Fonseca C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saltillo 36 / 100
CF Orgullo Reynosa 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saltillo CF Orgullo Reynosa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saltillo found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

CF Orgullo Reynosa let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Saltillo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saltillo VS CF Orgullo Reynosa
1 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Saltillo

(Home)
26 Sept
Saltillo
3 : 2
Heroes de Zaci
19 Sept
FC Santiago
4 : 1
Saltillo
12 Sept
Saltillo
2 : 0
Correcaminos 2
06 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 3
Saltillo
29 Aug
Saltillo
1 : 4
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
Page 1 of 6

CF Orgullo Reynosa

(Away)
05 May
Gavilanes de Matamoros
1 : 1
CF Orgullo Reynosa
02 May
CF Orgullo Reynosa
0 : 1
Gavilanes de Matamoros
26 Apr
Correcaminos 2
1 : 2
CF Orgullo Reynosa
20 Apr
CF Orgullo Reynosa
1 : 1
Gavilanes de Matamoros
06 Apr
UA Zacatecas
3 : 2
CF Orgullo Reynosa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)