Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saltillo vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Coronado A.
55' Event
Dominguez Castro M. G.

AI Match Summary

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 in this Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cimarrones de Sonora 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Saltillo
15%
Draws
49%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cimarrones de Sonora 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Cimarrones de Sonora 2 have won more games recently than Saltillo.
  • Cimarrones de Sonora 2 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Saltillo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Saltillo Clean Sheet 19%
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saltillo Cimarrones de Sonora 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.27 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
0:2
Sep 9, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Saltillo
1:2
Jan 29, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
2:1
Oct 2, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 vs Saltillo
2:3
Mar 13, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs Cimarrones de Sonora 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saltillo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Coronado A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dominguez Castro M. G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saltillo 10 / 100
Cimarrones de Sonora 2 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saltillo Cimarrones de Sonora 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cimarrones de Sonora 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saltillo found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Saltillo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Cimarrones de Sonora 2 let in goals in 50% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Saltillo VS Cimarrones de Sonora 2
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saltillo

(Home)
26 Sept
Saltillo
3 : 2
Heroes de Zaci
19 Sept
FC Santiago
4 : 1
Saltillo
12 Sept
Saltillo
2 : 0
Correcaminos 2
06 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 3
Saltillo
29 Aug
Saltillo
1 : 4
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
Page 1 of 6

Cimarrones de Sonora 2

(Away)
13 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
3 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
10 May
Mineros de Fresnillo
2 : 0
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
04 May
Leones Negros 2
0 : 1
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
02 May
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
1 : 0
Leones Negros 2
27 Apr
Cimarrones de Sonora 2
2 : 0
Mineros de Fresnillo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)