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Saltillo vs Tritones Vallarta

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024
Saltillo Logo

Saltillo

0 - 1
FT
Tritones Vallarta Logo

Tritones Vallarta

Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Reyes A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 game between Saltillo and Tritones Vallarta finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tritones Vallarta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Saltillo
20%
Draws
15%
Tritones Vallarta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saltillo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Tritones Vallarta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Saltillo Clean Sheet 68%
Tritones Vallarta Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saltillo Tritones Vallarta
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs Tritones Vallarta
0:1
Nov 18, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Saltillo
1:2
Feb 14, 2022 Liga Premier Serie A
Tritones Vallarta vs Saltillo
2:1
Oct 13, 2021 Liga Premier Serie A
Saltillo vs Tritones Vallarta
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saltillo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Tritones Vallarta Compare

Top Goalscorer Reyes A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saltillo 41 / 100
Tritones Vallarta 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saltillo Tritones Vallarta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saltillo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saltillo scored in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Tritones Vallarta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Saltillo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Saltillo VS Tritones Vallarta
1.67 Goals Scored 0.88
2 Goals Conceded 0.63
83% Over 1.5 50%
67% Over 2.5 0%
67% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saltillo

(Home)
26 Sept
Saltillo
3 : 2
Heroes de Zaci
19 Sept
FC Santiago
4 : 1
Saltillo
12 Sept
Saltillo
2 : 0
Correcaminos 2
06 Sept
Apodaca
2 : 3
Saltillo
29 Aug
Saltillo
1 : 4
La Tribu de Cd. Juarez
Page 1 of 6

Tritones Vallarta

(Away)
27 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
20 Sept
Los Cabos United
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
11 Sept
Tritones Vallarta
1 : 1
Zacatepec
28 Aug
Tritones Vallarta
0 : 1
Reboceros de La Piedad
25 Apr
Deportiva Venados
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Los Cabos United 32 20 6 6 55:27 71
2 Alacranes de Durango 32 18 10 4 53:22 67
3 Gavilanes de Matamoros 32 16 7 9 46:33 57
4 Correcaminos 2 32 17 2 13 48:47 57
5 Tecos 32 15 6 11 54:36 53
6 Leones Negros 2 32 15 2 15 47:45 52
7 Cimarrones de Sonora 2 32 13 7 12 32:31 48
8 UA Zacatecas 32 14 8 10 46:38 47
9 CF Orgullo Reynosa 32 11 11 10 31:29 47
10 Tritones Vallarta 32 11 11 10 33:27 46
11 Saltillo 32 11 11 10 30:31 46
12 Apodaca 32 12 6 14 42:41 45
13 Mineros de Fresnillo 32 10 10 12 38:41 40
14 Calor De San Pedro 32 11 6 15 31:50 37
15 Dragones Toluca 32 8 5 19 22:56 29
16 Colima FC 32 7 3 22 31:62 25
17 Coras FC 32 6 3 23 25:48 21
18 Chihuahua F.C. 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 32 23 5 4 46:18 77
2 Jaiba Brava 32 19 6 7 59:29 67
3 Deportiva Venados 32 18 5 9 52:38 62
4 Irapuato 32 14 11 7 55:24 57
5 Aguacateros de Periban 32 16 6 10 56:37 57
6 Petroleros Salamanca 32 16 5 11 34:22 56
7 Inter Playa Del Carmen 32 14 10 8 39:29 56
8 Montaneses 32 16 5 11 47:42 56
9 Escorpiones 32 14 9 9 38:29 54
10 Reboceros de La Piedad 32 13 4 15 39:35 47
11 Cafetaleros de Chiapas 32 14 4 14 40:38 47
12 Pioneros 32 10 7 15 32:47 37
13 Lobos ULMX 32 9 5 18 29:47 34
14 Halcones de Zapopan 32 6 13 13 29:38 32
15 CS Canamy 32 9 3 20 40:58 29
16 San Juan de Aragon 32 7 2 23 30:62 25
17 Inter de Queretaro 32 3 2 27 18:90 10
18 Yalmakan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A 2023/2024 (Play Offs)