Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Saltney Town vs Aberystwyth

Wales Wales

FA Cup 2021/2022
Sat, Oct 16, 2021
0 - 1
01:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Evans D.
(Penalty)
1' Event
Butterworth L.
Penalty Missed
2' Event
Phillips S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Aberystwyth advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Saltney Town
40%
Draws
29%
Aberystwyth
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Aberystwyth carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Aberystwyth arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Aberystwyth, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Saltney Town Clean Sheet 18%
Aberystwyth Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saltney Town Aberystwyth
Matches Played 7 31
Wins 4 13
Draws 0 5
Losses 3 13
Goals Scored 0 1.63
Goals Conceded 0 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2021 FA Cup
Saltney Town vs Aberystwyth
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saltney Town 32 / 100
Aberystwyth 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saltney Town Aberystwyth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saltney Town found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (7 games).

Aberystwyth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Saltney Town stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Aberystwyth has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aberystwyth
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Saltney Town

(Home)
20 Sept
Saltney Town
3 : 7
Gresford
16 Oct
Saltney Town
0 : 1
Aberystwyth
25 Sept
Saltney Town
2 : 1
Penrhyncoch
04 Sept
Llanrhaeadr
3 : 5
Saltney Town
14 Aug
Saltney Town
3 : 1
Felinheli
Page 1 of 2

Aberystwyth

(Away)
18 Apr
Ynyshir Albions
0 : 0
Aberystwyth
11 Apr
Cwmbran Celtic
3 : 1
Aberystwyth
04 Apr
Aberystwyth
2 : 2
Llantwit Major
28 Mar
Aberystwyth
0 : 1
Afan Lido
21 Mar
Cambrian United
2 : 0
Aberystwyth
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Penlan Club0
Ynysygerwn2
TBD-
Cambrian United-
Penybont-
TBD-
Undy3
Chepstow Town0
Llanuwchllyn2
Denbigh4
TBD-
Caernarfon-
Prestatyn-
TBD-
Caersws FC2
Rhostyllen3
Buckley2
Mold Alexandra1
Porthmadog3
Llanberis FC0
Monmouth3
Cwmamman United1
TBD-
Llanelli-
Goytre Utd-
TBD-
Abergavenny Town1
Taffs Well3
Pencoed5
Treharris Athletic0
Llantwit Major4
Risca United0
Llandudno FC4
Llay Welfare2
TBD-
Airbus UK Broughton FC-
Haverfordwest-
TBD-
Caerau Ely3
Brecon Corinthians8
Bala-
TBD-
Brymbo3
Llansantffraid Village1
Pontypridd United-
TBD-
Penydarren1
Cwmbran Celtic0
Llanrhaeadr-
TBD-
Saltney Town3
Felinheli1
Penrhyncoch-
TBD-
Aberaeron1
Ynyshir Albions3
Aberystwyth-
TBD-
Porthcawl Town0
Aber Valley2
Cefn Druids-
TBD-
Holyhead1
Rhos Aelwyd0
Newtown-
TBD-
Llanelwy2
Berriew FC7
Carmarthen Town-
TBD-
Cardiff Airport2
Trethomas Bluebirds3
Conwy Borough-
TBD-
Caergybi1
Cefn Albion4
TNS-
TBD-
Llanfairfechan Town1
Llanrwst United2
Pure Swansea-
TBD-
Caldicot6
Penparcau FC3
Llanidloes Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Bangor City-
Pontymister1
Dinas Powys2
Port Talbot0
Afan Lido6
Llandudno Albion5
Llanerchymedd1
TBD-
Guilsfield-
Ammanford Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Penrhiwceiber Rangers-
Flint Town-
TBD-
Llanfair United2
Penrhyndeudraeth FC3
Briton Ferry-
TBD-
Trefelin8
Fairwater1
Connahs Q.-
TBD-
Rhyl1
Rhydymwyn0
Holywell Town FC2
Gresford3
TBD-
Colwyn Bay-
Bodedern5
Llandyrnog United1
Llangefni0
Ruthin Town1
Pontyclun FC0
Pontardawe3
TBD-
Cardiff Metropolitan University-
Barry Town-
TBD-
Garden Village2
Goytre AFC3
1/32-finals
Ynysygerwn1
Cambrian United3
Penybont7
Undy0
Denbigh0
Caernarfon4
Prestatyn6
Rhostyllen0
Buckley3
Porthmadog1
Monmouth3
Llanelli0
Goytre Utd0
Taffs Well3
Pencoed0
Llantwit Major3
Llandudno FC1
Airbus UK Broughton FC2
Haverfordwest6
Brecon Corinthians0
Bala17
Brymbo1
Pontypridd United6
Penydarren0
Llanrhaeadr3
Saltney Town5
Penrhyncoch4
Ynyshir Albions1
Aberystwyth9
Aber Valley0
Cefn Druids1
Holyhead0
Newtown6
Berriew FC1
Carmarthen Town2
Trethomas Bluebirds1
Conwy Borough3
Cefn Albion2
TNS6
Llanrwst United0
Pure Swansea6
Caldicot3
Llanidloes Town1
Bangor City4
Dinas Powys2
Afan Lido1
Llandudno Albion3
Guilsfield5
Ammanford Town0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers3
Flint Town5
Penrhyndeudraeth FC0
Briton Ferry0
Trefelin3
Connahs Q.5
Rhyl0
Gresford1
Colwyn Bay2
Bodedern4
Ruthin Town5
Pontardawe0
Cardiff Metropolitan University1
Barry Town2
Goytre AFC0
1/16-finals
Cambrian United1
Penybont3
Caernarfon3
Prestatyn0
Buckley2
Monmouth0
Taffs Well2
Llantwit Major1
Airbus UK Broughton FC1
Haverfordwest2
Bala5
Pontypridd United0
Saltney Town2
Penrhyncoch1
Aberystwyth4
Cefn Druids1
Newtown1
Carmarthen Town2
Conwy Borough0
TNS1
Pure Swansea1
Bangor City0
Dinas Powys2
Guilsfield4
Penrhiwceiber Rangers1
Flint Town3
Trefelin0
Connahs Q.4
Colwyn Bay5
Ruthin Town1
Cardiff Metropolitan University3
Barry Town0
1/8-finals
Penybont1
Caernarfon0
Buckley0
Taffs Well2
Haverfordwest1
Bala3
Saltney Town0
Aberystwyth1
Carmarthen Town0
TNS1
Pure Swansea1
Guilsfield2
Flint Town0
Connahs Q.2
Colwyn Bay1
Cardiff Metropolitan University0
Quarter-finals
Penybont3
Taffs Well2
Bala2
Aberystwyth1
TNS2
Guilsfield0
Connahs Q.0
Colwyn Bay2
Semi-finals
Penybont1
Bala0
TNS1
Colwyn Bay0
Final
Penybont2
TNS3