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Saluzzo vs Celle Varazze

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Morleo U.
31' Event
Fontana M.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Graziani G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A game between Saluzzo and Celle Varazze finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Saluzzo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Saluzzo
20%
Draws
34%
Celle Varazze
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Saluzzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Celle Varazze come out ahead of Saluzzo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Saluzzo a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Saluzzo Clean Sheet 20%
Celle Varazze Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Saluzzo Celle Varazze
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 10
Draws 9 6
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.39 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 0.51 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Celle Varazze
3:1
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Saluzzo vs Celle Varazze
0:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Celle Varazze vs Saluzzo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Saluzzo Compare

Top Goalscorer Morleo U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nejad A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.39
Avg xA / game 0.26

Celle Varazze Compare

Top Goalscorer Graziani G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Saluzzo 85 / 100
Celle Varazze 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Saluzzo Celle Varazze

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saluzzo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Saluzzo scored in 71% of their last 28 outings.

Celle Varazze's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Saluzzo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Saluzzo VS Celle Varazze
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Saluzzo

(Home)
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Borgosesia Calcio
0 : 2
Saluzzo
06 Sept
Saluzzo
1 : 1
AS Biellese
03 May
Saluzzo
1 : 1
Derthona FbC
26 Apr
Varese FC
1 : 0
Saluzzo
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Celle Varazze

(Away)
16 Sept
Saluzzo
3 : 1
Celle Varazze
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
26 Apr
Celle Varazze
1 : 0
Sestri Levante
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derthona FbC 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Saluzzo 4 2 2 0 8:4 8
3 AS Biellese 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
4 GSD Lascaris 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
5 Fezzanese 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Asti Calcio 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
7 Millesimo 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
8 Alessandria 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
9 Sanremese 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Gozzano 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Imperia Calcio 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
12 Ligorna 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
13 Chisola 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
14 Sestri Levante 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
15 Bra 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
16 Borgosesia Calcio 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
17 Valenzana 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
18 Celle Varazze 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)