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Salvatierra vs Amorebieta

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010 game between Salvatierra and Amorebieta finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Amorebieta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Salvatierra
6%
Draws
90%
Amorebieta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Amorebieta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Amorebieta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Amorebieta taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Salvatierra Clean Sheet 20%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salvatierra Amorebieta
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 13
Draws 4 9
Losses 25 9
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Salvatierra vs Amorebieta
1:3
Sep 12, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amorebieta vs Salvatierra
3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salvatierra 10 / 100
Amorebieta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salvatierra Amorebieta

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AMO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Salvatierra stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Salvatierra scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Amorebieta let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Amorebieta
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Sociedad B382112568:2375
2Portugalete381912765:3169
3Amorebieta381911858:3468
4Elgoibar381981140:2965
5Gernika Club381712954:3863
6Beasain381891158:3563
7SCD Durango381514956:4459
8Amurrio Club381415953:4257
9Zamudio381681447:4456
10Baskonia3813131253:5652
11Laudio3812131331:3149
12Santurtzi3811151245:4048
13Zalla UC381381738:4747
14Eibar B3812101646:5746
15Arenas Getxo3811131429:4146
16Leioa381361945:5945
17Lagun Onak3811101733:4243
18UD Aretxabaleta3810111733:5841
19Retuerto Sport385112231:7426
20Salvatierra38272922:8013