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Salvatierra vs Amurrio Club

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Salvatierra play Amurrio Club in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010. Amurrio Club are favorites here. Recently, Salvatierra averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Amurrio Club averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.31 conceded. In past meetings, Salvatierra won 0, Amurrio Club won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2010 ended 1:4. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Salvatierra and 0.93 for Amurrio Club. This points to a Amurrio Club double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Salvatierra
20%
Draws
66%
Amurrio Club
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Amurrio Club

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

94% / Very High Confidence
  • Salvatierra picked up more points recently compared to Amurrio Club.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.93 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Salvatierra Clean Sheet 24%
Amurrio Club Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salvatierra Amurrio Club
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 1 13
Draws 4 10
Losses 25 16
Goals Scored 0.67 1.31
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.31

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Salvatierra vs Amurrio Club
1:4
Dec 13, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amurrio Club vs Salvatierra
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salvatierra 17 / 100
Amurrio Club 62 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salvatierra Amurrio Club

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Amurrio Club Win (2)
Secondary Pick Amurrio Club & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +133.4%
16.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Salvatierra attacking → ← attacking Amurrio Club

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salvatierra scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Amurrio Club let in goals in 72% of their last 39 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Salvatierra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Amurrio Club lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 49
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Real Sociedad B382112568:2375
2Portugalete381912765:3169
3Amorebieta381911858:3468
4Elgoibar381981140:2965
5Gernika Club381712954:3863
6Beasain381891158:3563
7SCD Durango381514956:4459
8Amurrio Club381415953:4257
9Zamudio381681447:4456
10Baskonia3813131253:5652
11Laudio3812131331:3149
12Santurtzi3811151245:4048
13Zalla UC381381738:4747
14Eibar B3812101646:5746
15Arenas Getxo3811131429:4146
16Leioa381361945:5945
17Lagun Onak3811101733:4243
18UD Aretxabaleta3810111733:5841
19Retuerto Sport385112231:7426
20Salvatierra38272922:8013