Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010

Beasain

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Salvatierra play Beasain in the Tercera Division - Group 4 2009/2010. Beasain are favorites here. Recently, Salvatierra averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.37 conceded. Beasain averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Salvatierra won 0, Beasain won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 13, 2010 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Salvatierra and 1.11 for Beasain. This points to a Beasain double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%

Salvatierra

23%

Draws

65%

Beasain

Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Beasain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Salvatierra picked up more points recently compared to Beasain.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 75%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Salvatierra Clean Sheet 21%

Beasain Clean Sheet 14%

First Half Goal 68%

Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Salvatierra	Beasain
Matches Played	30	40
Wins	1	15
Draws	4	12
Losses	25	13
Goals Scored	0.67	1.3
Goals Conceded	2.37	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Salvatierra vs Beasain

Possession: 59% - 40% Cards: 3 - 1

1:3

Oct 24, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Beasain vs Salvatierra

Possession: 42% - 56% Cards: 4 - 2

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salvatierra 15 / 100

Beasain 61 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Salvatierra Beasain

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Beasain Win (2)

Secondary Pick Beasain & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +200%

25.00

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Salvatierra attacking → ← attacking Beasain

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salvatierra scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Beasain let in goals in 75% of their last 40 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Salvatierra went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Beasain lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

7 Points in last 5 57

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Real Sociedad B	38	21	12	5	68:23	75
2	Portugalete	38	19	12	7	65:31	69
3	Amorebieta	38	19	11	8	58:34	68
4	Elgoibar	38	19	8	11	40:29	65
5	Gernika Club	38	17	12	9	54:38	63
6	Beasain	38	18	9	11	58:35	63
7	SCD Durango	38	15	14	9	56:44	59
8	Amurrio Club	38	14	15	9	53:42	57
9	Zamudio	38	16	8	14	47:44	56
10	Baskonia	38	13	13	12	53:56	52
11	Laudio	38	12	13	13	31:31	49
12	Santurtzi	38	11	15	12	45:40	48
13	Zalla UC	38	13	8	17	38:47	47
14	Eibar B	38	12	10	16	46:57	46
15	Arenas Getxo	38	11	13	14	29:41	46
16	Leioa	38	13	6	19	45:59	45
17	Lagun Onak	38	11	10	17	33:42	43
18	UD Aretxabaleta	38	10	11	17	33:58	41
19	Retuerto Sport	38	5	11	22	31:74	26
20	Salvatierra	38	2	7	29	22:80	13