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Salyut-Belgorod vs Ryazan

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Salyut-Belgorod play Ryazan in the FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3. Salyut-Belgorod are favorites here. Recently, Salyut-Belgorod averaged 1.73 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. Ryazan averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.17 conceded. In past meetings, Salyut-Belgorod won 3, Ryazan won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Salyut-Belgorod and 1.00 for Ryazan. This points to a Salyut-Belgorod double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Salyut-Belgorod
25%
Draws
15%
Ryazan
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Salyut-Belgorod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Salyut-Belgorod picked up more points recently compared to Ryazan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Salyut-Belgorod Clean Sheet 23%
Ryazan Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Salyut-Belgorod Ryazan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 9
Draws 4 14
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.73 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Salyut-Belgorod vs Ryazan
0:2
Sep 6, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Salyut-Belgorod vs Ryazan
5:0
Aug 19, 2025 Russian Cup
Salyut-Belgorod vs Ryazan
3:0
May 18, 2025 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Ryazan vs Salyut-Belgorod
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 FNL 2 - Division B - Group 3
Salyut-Belgorod vs Ryazan
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Salyut-Belgorod Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Ryazan Compare

Top Goalscorer Prokurorov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khokhlov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Salyut-Belgorod 59 / 100
Ryazan 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Salyut-Belgorod Ryazan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Salyut-Belgorod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Salyut-Belgorod & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Salyut-Belgorod attacking → ← attacking Ryazan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Salyut-Belgorod scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Ryazan let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Salyut-Belgorod went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ryazan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 41
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63