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Sama Al Sarhan vs Umm Al Qotain

Jordan Jordan

Jordan Cup 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
90'

AI Match Summary

The Jordan Cup 2023/2024 game between Sama Al Sarhan and Umm Al Qotain finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sama Al Sarhan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sama Al Sarhan
6%
Draws
90%
Umm Al Qotain
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Umm Al Qotain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sama Al Sarhan carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Umm Al Qotain are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Jordan Cup 2023/2024 game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sama Al Sarhan Clean Sheet 19%
Umm Al Qotain Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sama Al Sarhan Umm Al Qotain
Matches Played 32 9
Wins 6 4
Draws 3 2
Losses 23 3
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2023 Jordan Cup
Sama Al Sarhan vs Umm Al Qotain
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sama Al Sarhan 10 / 100
Umm Al Qotain 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sama Al Sarhan Umm Al Qotain

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UMM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umm Al Qotain's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 9 matches.

Difficult form: Umm Al Qotain registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sama Al Sarhan scored in 53% of their last 32 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Sama Al Sarhan VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Shabab Al Ordon-
TBD-
Der Abi Saeed-
Al Tora-
Al Sareeh-
TBD-
Kfarsoum0
Al Taibah1
Al Ahli-
TBD-
TBD-
El Alia-
Maan-
TBD-
TBD-
Ittihad Al Ramtha-
Al Ramtha-
TBD-
Wadi Al Rayyan2
Rabaa Serhan1
Sama Al Sarhan-
TBD-
Al Khaledeya1
Umm Al Qotain2
Moghayer Al Sarhan-
TBD-
Sama1
Al Karmal0
Al Wehdat-
TBD-
Ittihad Jerash2
Saham1
Al Hussein-
TBD-
TBD-
Amman-
Al Hashemeya-
TBD-
TBD-
Al Yarmouk-
Al Jalil-
TBD-
Balama1
Doqarah4
Aqaba-
TBD-
Al Wehda4
Shabab Hwarah2
Al Salt-
TBD-
TBD-
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan)-
Al Jazeera Amman-
TBD-
Ghor Al-Safi0
Marj Al Hamam1
Sahab-
TBD-
TBD-
Al Buqaa-
Al-Faisaly Amman-
TBD-
Hartha1
Al Husn0
1/16-finals
Shabab Al Ordon3
Der Abi Saeed1
Al Sareeh2
Al Taibah0
Al Ahli2
El Alia0
Maan2
Ittihad Al Ramtha0
Al Ramtha6
Wadi Al Rayyan0
Sama Al Sarhan1
Umm Al Qotain0
Moghayer Al Sarhan1
Sama0
Al Wehdat2
Ittihad Jerash0
Al Hussein2
Amman1
Al Hashemeya0
Al Yarmouk1
Al Jalil3
Doqarah2
Aqaba3
Al Wehda0
Al Salt2
Al Arabi Irbid (Jordan)1
Al Jazeera Amman1
Marj Al Hamam0
Sahab1
Al Buqaa0
Al-Faisaly Amman8
Hartha0
1/8-finals
Shabab Al Ordon1
Al Sareeh0
Al Ahli0
Maan1
Al Ramtha4
Sama Al Sarhan0
Moghayer Al Sarhan0
Al Wehdat1
Al Hussein4
Al Yarmouk0
Al Jalil0
Aqaba1
Al Salt2
Al Jazeera Amman1
Sahab1
Al-Faisaly Amman0
Quarter-finals
Shabab Al Ordon2
Maan1
Al Ramtha1
Al Wehdat3
Al Hussein4
Aqaba1
Al Salt2
Sahab1
Semi-finals
Shabab Al Ordon0
Al Wehdat1
Al Hussein2
Al Salt1
Final
Al Wehdat2
Al Hussein1