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Samaritaine vs Club Colonial - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Trophee Gerard Janvion matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Samaritaine
30%
Draws
47%
Club Colonial
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Club Colonial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Club Colonial have won more games recently than Samaritaine.
  • 47% — that's where the model lands on Club Colonial taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 15%
Club Colonial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samaritaine Club Colonial
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 16
Draws 10 4
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.94 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Club Colonial
2:2
May 9, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Club Colonial
2:3
Dec 13, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Club Colonial vs Samaritaine
2:3
May 17, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Club Colonial
3:3
Sep 14, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Club Colonial vs Samaritaine
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samaritaine 27 / 100
Club Colonial 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samaritaine Club Colonial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Club Colonial Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Samaritaine scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Club Colonial conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Club Colonial has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samaritaine VS Club Colonial
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samaritaine

(Home)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
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Club Colonial

(Away)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Club Colonial
0 : 2
Inter de Sainte-Anne
06 Jun
Golden Star
3 : 2
Club Colonial
30 May
Club Colonial
0 : 2
Inter de Sainte-Anne
16 May
Club Colonial
3 : 1
Morne des Esses
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 2 2 0 0 9:1 8
2 Franciscain 2 2 0 0 9:2 8
3 Inter de Sainte-Anne 2 2 0 0 3:0 8
4 Assaut 2 1 1 0 6:1 6
5 Golden Lion 2 1 1 0 3:2 6
6 Morne des Esses 2 1 0 1 4:5 5
7 Club Peleen 2 1 0 1 2:6 5
8 Samaritaine 2 0 2 0 4:4 4
9 Golden Star 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
10 Trenelle 2 0 1 1 2:6 3
11 RC Riviere-Pilote 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
12 Club Colonial 2 0 1 1 2:4 3
13 RC Lorrain 2 0 0 2 3:7 2
14 Espoir 2 0 0 2 0:7 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Main)