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Samaritaine vs Excelsior

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2015/2016 game between Samaritaine and Excelsior finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samaritaine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Samaritaine
15%
Draws
49%
Excelsior
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Excelsior

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samaritaine come out ahead of Excelsior on wins alone.
  • Samaritaine are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 20%
Excelsior Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samaritaine Excelsior
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 10 3
Losses 8 20
Goals Scored 1.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.17 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2016 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Excelsior vs Samaritaine
1:0
Oct 24, 2015 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Excelsior
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samaritaine 67 / 100
Excelsior 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samaritaine Excelsior

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samaritaine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Excelsior conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Samaritaine's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Excelsior registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samaritaine VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samaritaine

(Home)
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
09 May
Samaritaine
2 : 3
Club Colonial
25 Apr
Robert
0 : 3
Samaritaine
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Excelsior

(Away)
13 May
Excelsior
2 : 2
JS Eucalyptus
06 May
CS Case-Pilote
1 : 2
Excelsior
29 Apr
Excelsior
0 : 2
Golden Lion
23 Apr
Excelsior
1 : 3
Golden Star
08 Apr
Club Colonial
6 : 0
Excelsior
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