Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samaritaine vs Franciscain Prediction & H2H Stats

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Franciscain in this Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Franciscain.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Samaritaine
20%
Draws
69%
Franciscain
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Franciscain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Franciscain lately — more wins on the board than Samaritaine.
  • Franciscain are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 12%
Franciscain Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samaritaine Franciscain
Matches Played 35 34
Wins 14 27
Draws 12 4
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.91 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Franciscain
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Samaritaine
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Franciscain
0:2
Sep 28, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Samaritaine
0:0
Mar 17, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Samaritaine
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samaritaine 10 / 100
Franciscain 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samaritaine Franciscain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Franciscain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samaritaine's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Franciscain let in goals in 56% of their last 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Samaritaine stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samaritaine VS Franciscain
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Samaritaine

(Home)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
Page 1 of 7

Franciscain

(Away)
12 Sept
Trenelle
1 : 5
Franciscain
05 Sept
Franciscain
4 : 1
RC Lorrain
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Espoir
0 : 1
Franciscain
16 May
Franciscain
0 : 2
RC Saint Joseph
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 26 21 5 0 64:10 94
2 Franciscain 26 20 3 3 54:16 89
3 Golden Lion 26 15 4 7 51:27 75
4 Club Colonial 26 15 2 9 44:30 73
5 Samaritaine 26 11 7 8 49:27 66
6 Club Peleen 26 11 4 11 40:43 63
7 Inter de Sainte-Anne 26 9 7 10 33:31 60
8 Trenelle 26 7 10 9 37:41 57
9 Golden Star 26 9 4 13 32:44 57
10 Morne des Esses 26 8 6 12 28:40 56
11 Espoir 26 8 4 14 30:49 54
12 Aiglon Lamentin 26 6 3 17 33:74 47
13 Robert 26 5 5 16 22:47 46
14 Emulation 26 2 6 18 18:56 38
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Main)