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Samaritaine vs Franciscain - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samaritaine host Franciscain in the Trophee Gerard Janvion. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Samaritaine have averaged 2.03 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Franciscain's 2.33 scored and 0.82 conceded. Head-to-head, Samaritaine have won 1 to Franciscain's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 21, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.00 - 1.88) back Franciscain to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
Samaritaine
20%
Draws
69%
Franciscain
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Franciscain

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Samaritaine haven't matched Franciscain's recent run of results.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Franciscain taking it.
  • Regular Trophee Gerard Janvion form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 10%
Franciscain Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samaritaine Franciscain
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 16 26
Draws 10 3
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 2.03 2.33
Goals Conceded 1 0.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Franciscain
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Samaritaine
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Franciscain
0:2
Sep 28, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Samaritaine
0:0
Mar 17, 2024 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Franciscain vs Samaritaine
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samaritaine 10 / 100
Franciscain 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samaritaine Franciscain

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Franciscain Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samaritaine found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (34 games).

Franciscain let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Samaritaine stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samaritaine VS Franciscain
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Samaritaine

(Home)
12 Sept
Samaritaine
2 : 2
Club Colonial
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
Page 1 of 7

Franciscain

(Away)
12 Sept
Trenelle
1 : 5
Franciscain
05 Sept
Franciscain
4 : 1
RC Lorrain
06 Jun
Franciscain
2 : 1
Morne des Esses
30 May
Espoir
0 : 1
Franciscain
16 May
Franciscain
0 : 2
RC Saint Joseph
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RC Saint Joseph 2 2 0 0 9:1 8
2 Franciscain 2 2 0 0 9:2 8
3 Inter de Sainte-Anne 2 2 0 0 3:0 8
4 Assaut 2 1 1 0 6:1 6
5 Golden Lion 2 1 1 0 3:2 6
6 Morne des Esses 2 1 0 1 4:5 5
7 Club Peleen 2 1 0 1 2:6 5
8 Samaritaine 2 0 2 0 4:4 4
9 Golden Star 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
10 Trenelle 2 0 1 1 2:6 3
11 RC Riviere-Pilote 2 0 1 1 1:2 3
12 Club Colonial 2 0 1 1 2:4 3
13 RC Lorrain 2 0 0 2 3:7 2
14 Espoir 2 0 0 2 0:7 2
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup (Main)