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Samaritaine vs Monnerot

Martinique Martinique

Trophee Gerard Janvion 2019/2020
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2019/2020 game between Samaritaine and Monnerot finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samaritaine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Samaritaine
20%
Draws
40%
Monnerot
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samaritaine come out ahead of Monnerot on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Samaritaine's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Samaritaine here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 20%
Monnerot Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samaritaine Monnerot
Matches Played 38 31
Wins 19 2
Draws 11 8
Losses 8 21
Goals Scored 2.11 0.84
Goals Conceded 1 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2021 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Monnerot
4:0
Sep 19, 2020 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Monnerot vs Samaritaine
1:3
Mar 7, 2020 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Monnerot vs Samaritaine
0:0
Sep 21, 2019 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs Monnerot
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samaritaine 85 / 100
Monnerot 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samaritaine Monnerot

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samaritaine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samaritaine's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Monnerot let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Monnerot registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samaritaine VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samaritaine

(Home)
05 Sept
Golden Lion
2 : 2
Samaritaine
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4
Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0
Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1
Inter de Sainte-Anne
09 May
Samaritaine
2 : 3
Club Colonial
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Monnerot

(Away)
02 Jun
CS Case-Pilote
3 : 0
Monnerot
21 May
Monnerot
0 : 5
Club Colonial
07 May
Monnerot
1 : 2
Aiglon Lamentin
30 Apr
Assaut
0 : 0
Monnerot
23 Apr
Monnerot
0 : 3
Franciscain
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