Sport Picks
Samaritaine vs RC Saint Joseph
Martinique
Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Trophee Gerard Janvion 2025/2026 game between Samaritaine and RC Saint Joseph finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
14%
15%
71%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: RC Saint Joseph
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
71%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and RC Saint Joseph come out ahead of Samaritaine on wins alone.
- 71% — that's where the model lands on RC Saint Joseph taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Samaritaine Clean Sheet 10%
RC Saint Joseph Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Samaritaine | RC Saint Joseph |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 34 |
| Wins | 14 | 28 |
| Draws | 11 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 0 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 2.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 0.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 2.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 7, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs RC Saint Joseph
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Saint Joseph vs Samaritaine
0:0
May 10, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
RC Saint Joseph vs Samaritaine
1:1
Feb 27, 2025 Trophee Gerard Janvion
Samaritaine vs RC Saint Joseph
0:2
Nov 16, 2024 Coupe de France
Samaritaine vs RC Saint Joseph
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Samaritaine 10 / 100
RC Saint Joseph 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Samaritaine RC Saint Joseph
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick RC Saint Joseph Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Samaritaine scored in 76% of their last 34 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
RC Saint Joseph's defensive record shows goals conceded in 29% of 34 matches.
Samaritaine went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Samaritaine VS RC Saint Joseph
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Samaritaine
(Home) 06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4 Aiglon Lamentin
30 May
Trenelle
2 : 0 Samaritaine
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1 Inter de Sainte-Anne
09 May
Samaritaine
2 : 3 Club Colonial
25 Apr
Robert
0 : 3 Samaritaine
Page 1 of 7
06 Jun
Samaritaine
1 : 4 Aiglon Lamentin
16 May
Samaritaine
0 : 1 Inter de Sainte-Anne
09 May
Samaritaine
2 : 3 Club Colonial
18 Apr
Samaritaine
2 : 3 Golden Lion
21 Mar
Samaritaine
1 : 2 Franciscain
Page 1 of 4
RC Saint Joseph
(Away) 06 Jun
Golden Lion
0 : 1 RC Saint Joseph
30 May
RC Saint Joseph
6 : 0 Emulation
16 May
Franciscain
0 : 2 RC Saint Joseph
09 May
RC Saint Joseph
1 : 0 Golden Star
25 Apr
Morne des Esses
0 : 2 RC Saint Joseph
Page 1 of 7
06 Jun
Golden Lion
0 : 1 RC Saint Joseph
16 May
Franciscain
0 : 2 RC Saint Joseph
25 Apr
Morne des Esses
0 : 2 RC Saint Joseph
11 Apr
Club Colonial
0 : 1 RC Saint Joseph
21 Mar
Club Peleen
0 : 3 RC Saint Joseph
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RC Saint Joseph | 26 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 64:10 | 94 |
| 2 | Franciscain | 26 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 54:16 | 89 |
| 3 | Golden Lion | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 51:27 | 75 |
| 4 | Club Colonial | 26 | 15 | 2 | 9 | 44:30 | 73 |
| 5 | Samaritaine | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 49:27 | 66 |
| 6 | Club Peleen | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 40:43 | 63 |
| 7 | Inter de Sainte-Anne | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 33:31 | 60 |
| 8 | Trenelle | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 37:41 | 57 |
| 9 | Golden Star | 26 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 32:44 | 57 |
| 10 | Morne des Esses | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 28:40 | 56 |
| 11 | Espoir | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 30:49 | 54 |
| 12 | Aiglon Lamentin | 26 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 33:74 | 47 |
| 13 | Robert | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 22:47 | 46 |
| 14 | Emulation | 26 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 18:56 | 38 |
Promotion - CONCACAF Caribbean Cup 2025 (Main)
