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Samartex vs Karela

Ghana Ghana

Premier League Samartex Park, Tarkwa
Sat, Sep 5, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samartex host Karela in the Premier League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Samartex at 1.13 goals for, 1.38 against; Karela at 0.88 for, 1.13 against. Past meetings favor Samartex slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.13) point toward Samartex. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Samartex
30%
Draws
34%
Karela
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Samartex

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Samartex average 1.13 goals a game right now, well clear of Karela's 0.88.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Samartex taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
Samartex Clean Sheet 20%
Karela Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samartex Karela
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Premier League
Karela vs Samartex
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Samartex vs Karela
1:1
Apr 16, 2025 Premier League
Samartex vs Karela
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Premier League
Karela vs Samartex
1:1
Jun 9, 2024 Premier League
Karela vs Samartex
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samartex 36 / 100
Karela 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samartex Karela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Samartex's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Karela conceded in 53% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Samartex remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samartex VS Karela
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Samartex

(Home)
24 May
Young Apostles
2 : 0
Samartex
17 May
Samartex
1 : 0
Hearts of Oak
10 May
Heart of Lions
3 : 0
Samartex
06 May
Bibiani Gold Stars
2 : 0
Samartex
03 May
Samartex
3 : 1
Holy Stars
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Karela

(Away)
24 May
Karela
0 : 1
Nations FC
17 May
Karela
1 : 0
Swedru All Blacks
10 May
Vision
3 : 0
Karela
06 May
Hearts of Oak
0 : 0
Karela
03 May
Karela
2 : 1
Young Apostles
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Asante Kotoko00000:00
2Hearts of Oak00000:00
3Aduana Stars00000:00
4Berekum Chelsea00000:00
5Ashanti00000:00
6Heart of Lions00000:00
7Medeama00000:00
8Bechem United00000:00
9Dreams FC00000:00
10Samartex00000:00
11Vision00000:00
12Karela00000:00
13Bibiani Gold Stars00000:00
14Debibi United00000:00
15Young Apostles00000:00
16Holy Stars00000:00
17Swedru All Blacks00000:00
18Port City00000:00
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)