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Samartex vs Karela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ghana Ghana

Premier League Samartex Park, Tarkwa
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Quansah J.
37' Event
Asamoah E. K.
46'
Sub
Mortu F. In: Armegah E.
Out: Mortu F.

AI Match Summary

Samartex in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samartex.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Samartex
30%
Draws
29%
Karela
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Samartex

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Samartex have won more games recently than Karela.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Samartex taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Samartex Clean Sheet 20%
Karela Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samartex Karela
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.87 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.8 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Premier League
Samartex vs Karela
3:1
Jan 18, 2026 Premier League
Karela vs Samartex
0:1
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
Samartex vs Karela
1:1
Apr 16, 2025 Premier League
Samartex vs Karela
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Premier League
Karela vs Samartex
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samartex Compare

Top Goalscorer Asamoah E. K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Afful I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Karela Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samartex 40 / 100
Karela 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samartex Karela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samartex Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samartex's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Samartex remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Karela conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Samartex VS Karela
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Samartex

(Home)
08 Nov
Bechem United
2 : 1
Samartex
01 Nov
Samartex
1 : 0
Bibiani Gold Stars
25 Oct
Berekum Chelsea
0 : 0
Samartex
18 Oct
Samartex
2 : 1
Medeama
11 Oct
Ashanti
1 : 0
Samartex
Page 1 of 6

Karela

(Away)
06 Nov
Karela
0 : 0
Vision
01 Nov
Young Apostles
0 : 0
Karela
25 Oct
Karela
1 : 2
Port City
18 Oct
Swedru All Blacks
2 : 0
Karela
11 Oct
Karela
1 : 0
Dreams FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medeama 10 6 3 1 16:8 21
2 Hearts of Oak 10 6 2 2 12:3 20
3 Port City 10 5 3 2 12:7 18
4 Samartex 10 5 3 2 11:7 18
5 Aduana Stars 10 5 2 3 9:5 17
6 Bechem United 10 5 1 4 14:12 16
7 Ashanti 10 4 3 3 12:10 15
8 Swedru All Blacks 10 4 2 4 9:8 14
9 Berekum Chelsea 10 4 2 4 12:12 14
10 Asante Kotoko 10 3 4 3 11:12 13
11 Holy Stars 10 4 0 6 5:10 12
12 Bibiani Gold Stars 10 3 2 5 8:10 11
13 Karela 10 3 2 5 8:11 11
14 Debibi United 10 3 2 5 9:13 11
15 Heart of Lions 10 3 2 5 10:16 11
16 Vision 10 2 5 3 11:11 11
17 Young Apostles 10 2 2 6 5:13 8
18 Dreams FC 10 1 4 5 9:15 7
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)