Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sambenedettese vs Arezzo

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto
Our Tip

Match Events

29'
Pattarello E.
46'
Sub
Lepri T. In: Parigini V.
Out: Lepri T.
59'
Sub
Guccione F. In: Iaccarino G.
Out: Guccione F.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 game between Sambenedettese and Arezzo finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sambenedettese
15%
Draws
64%
Arezzo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arezzo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

21% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arezzo come out ahead of Sambenedettese on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sambenedettese's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 68%
Arezzo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambenedettese Arezzo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Arezzo
0:0
Nov 30, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Sambenedettese
1:0
Mar 7, 2021 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Arezzo
1:0
Dec 2, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Arezzo vs Sambenedettese
2:3
Mar 9, 2008 Lega Pro C1/B
Sambenedettese vs Arezzo
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambenedettese 77 / 100
Arezzo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambenedettese Arezzo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sambenedettese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sambenedettese scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Arezzo let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Arezzo registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sambenedettese VS Arezzo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambenedettese

(Home)
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Campobasso
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Spezia
Page 1 of 6

Arezzo

(Away)
27 Sept
Lazio
2 : 0
Arezzo
20 Sept
Arezzo
1 : 4
Sudtirol
11 Sept
Empoli
0 : 1
Arezzo
06 Sept
Verona
5 : 0
Arezzo
30 Aug
Arezzo
2 : 3
Palermo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arezzo 36 24 8 4 64:24 80
2 Ascoli 36 23 8 5 63:23 77
3 Ravenna 36 22 7 7 50:30 73
4 Campobasso 36 17 10 9 49:37 59
5 Juventus U23 36 14 11 11 46:43 53
6 Pianese 36 11 17 8 37:34 50
7 Pineto 36 13 11 12 42:45 50
8 Gubbio 36 11 15 10 31:32 48
9 Ternana 36 14 11 11 44:40 48
10 Vis Pesaro 36 11 13 12 38:36 46
11 Livorno 36 12 7 17 39:51 43
12 Forli FC 36 10 10 16 41:52 40
13 Carpi 36 10 10 16 35:48 40
14 Perugia 36 8 14 14 38:44 38
15 Guidonia 1937 36 8 14 14 30:36 38
16 Sambenedettese 36 8 13 15 30:37 37
17 Sassari Torres 36 6 18 12 32:45 36
18 Bra 36 6 14 16 37:54 32
19 US Pontedera 36 3 11 22 27:62 20
20 Rimini 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)