Sport Picks
Sambenedettese vs Ascoli
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto 
Match Events
58'
58'
Guiebre A.
58'
58'
Sub
Semprini M. In: Eusepi U.
Out: Semprini M.
62'
62'
Sub
Galuppini F. In: Silipo A.
Out: Galuppini F.
AI Match Summary
Ascoli in this Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ascoli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
7%
20%
73%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ascoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
73%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ascoli lately — more wins on the board than Sambenedettese.
- 73% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Ascoli have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 14%
Ascoli Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sambenedettese | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 18 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 4, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Ascoli
0:1
Oct 29, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie C
Sambenedettese vs Ascoli
2:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Ascoli vs Sambenedettese
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sambenedettese Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Ascoli Compare
Top Goalscorer Corazza S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sambenedettese 31 / 100
Ascoli 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sambenedettese Ascoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ascoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ascoli conceded in 64% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 1.67 goals when they meet.
Sambenedettese found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).
Sambenedettese went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sambenedettese VS Ascoli
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sambenedettese
(Home) 21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1 Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3 Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1 Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
02 Sept
Altamura
3 : 2 Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 6
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3 Atalanta U23
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2 Spezia
23 Aug
Sambenedettese
2 : 2 Forli FC
08 Aug
Sambenedettese
4 : 0 Lanciano FC
26 Jul
Sambenedettese
0 : 5 Avellino
Page 1 of 3
Ascoli
(Away) 19 Sept
Ascoli
3 : 1 Avellino
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0 Ascoli
05 Sept
Ascoli
1 : 0 Benevento
29 Aug
Ascoli
1 : 1 Carrarese
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2 Ascoli
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Padova
1 : 0 Ascoli
23 Aug
Verona
1 : 2 Ascoli
16 Aug
Genoa
4 : 1 Ascoli
26 Jul
Frosinone
1 : 0 Ascoli
03 Jun
Union Brescia
1 : 1 Ascoli
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arezzo | 36 | 24 | 8 | 4 | 64:24 | 80 |
| 2 | Ascoli | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 63:23 | 77 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 50:30 | 73 |
| 4 | Campobasso | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 49:37 | 59 |
| 5 | Juventus U23 | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 46:43 | 53 |
| 6 | Pianese | 36 | 11 | 17 | 8 | 37:34 | 50 |
| 7 | Pineto | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 42:45 | 50 |
| 8 | Gubbio | 36 | 11 | 15 | 10 | 31:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Ternana | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 44:40 | 48 |
| 10 | Vis Pesaro | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 38:36 | 46 |
| 11 | Livorno | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 39:51 | 43 |
| 12 | Forli FC | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 41:52 | 40 |
| 13 | Carpi | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 35:48 | 40 |
| 14 | Perugia | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 38:44 | 38 |
| 15 | Guidonia 1937 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 30:36 | 38 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 30:37 | 37 |
| 17 | Sassari Torres | 36 | 6 | 18 | 12 | 32:45 | 36 |
| 18 | Bra | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 37:54 | 32 |
| 19 | US Pontedera | 36 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27:62 | 20 |
| 20 | Rimini | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group B 2025/2026 (Play Out)
