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Sambenedettese vs Campobasso Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Celesia C.
41'
Sub
Gigli N. In: Chelli M.
Out: Gigli N.
44'
Corbo G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Sambenedettese and Campobasso finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Campobasso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Sambenedettese
30%
Draws
62%
Campobasso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Campobasso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Campobasso come out ahead of Sambenedettese on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Campobasso have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 13%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambenedettese Campobasso
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 16
Draws 8 5
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Campobasso
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Campobasso
0:1
Nov 7, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Sambenedettese
1:1
Apr 14, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Sambenedettese vs Campobasso
0:1
Dec 3, 2023 Serie D - Group F
Campobasso vs Sambenedettese
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sambenedettese Compare

Top Goalscorer Marranzino P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Campobasso Compare

Top Goalscorer Papini F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stoppa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambenedettese 31 / 100
Campobasso 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambenedettese Campobasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Campobasso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sambenedettese found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Campobasso conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Sambenedettese remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sambenedettese VS Campobasso
1.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambenedettese

(Home)
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Campobasso
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
16 Sept
Sambenedettese
2 : 3
Atalanta U23
12 Sept
Pineto
2 : 1
Sambenedettese
06 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Spezia
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Campobasso

(Away)
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Campobasso
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
05 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 4
Gubbio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 7 6 1 0 14:4 19
2 Ravenna 7 5 2 0 12:2 17
3 Grosseto 7 4 3 0 13:4 15
4 Reggiana 7 4 2 1 12:6 14
5 Livorno 7 4 2 1 10:8 14
6 Campobasso 7 3 2 2 11:10 11
7 Sassari Torres 7 3 2 2 8:8 11
8 Forli FC 7 2 4 1 13:11 10
9 Perugia 7 3 1 3 6:11 10
10 Guidonia 1937 7 2 3 2 9:7 9
11 Atalanta U23 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
12 Pescara 7 2 2 3 9:11 8
13 Ostiamare 7 2 1 4 8:9 7
14 Gubbio 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
15 Pineto 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
16 Latina 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
17 Vado 7 1 2 4 5:8 5
18 Vis Pesaro 7 1 1 5 8:16 4
19 Pianese 7 0 3 4 4:9 3
20 Sambenedettese 7 0 2 5 8:13 2
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)