Sport Picks

Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme

Sambenedettese

0 - 0

Livorno

Our Tip

Match Events

22'

Bonassi L.

31'

Eusepi U.

65'

Sub

Malagrida L. In: Vayrynen T.

Out: Malagrida L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group B game between Sambenedettese and Livorno finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Sambenedettese

28%

Draws

22%

Livorno

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sambenedettese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Livorno come out ahead of Sambenedettese on wins alone.
Model gives Sambenedettese a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
These two have met 3 times recently and Livorno have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 68%

Livorno Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sambenedettese	Livorno
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	5	10
Draws	11	6
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	0.25	1
Goals Conceded	0.38	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.25	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Serie C - Group B

Sambenedettese vs Livorno

Possession: 46% - 60% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Oct 18, 2025 Serie C - Group B

Livorno vs Sambenedettese

Possession: 43% - 40% Cards: 2 - 4

2:1

May 14, 2025 Serie D - Group A

Sambenedettese vs Livorno

Possession: 54% - 51% Cards: 3 - 3

2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambenedettese 59 / 100

Livorno 23 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sambenedettese Livorno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Sambenedettese stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Livorno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Away concern: Livorno has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sambenedettese VS Livorno

0.25 Goals Scored 1

0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5

13% Over 1.5 88%

0% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arezzo	36	24	8	4	64:24	80
2	Ascoli	36	23	8	5	63:23	77
3	Ravenna	36	22	7	7	50:30	73
4	Campobasso	36	17	10	9	49:37	59
5	Juventus U23	36	14	11	11	46:43	53
6	Pianese	36	11	17	8	37:34	50
7	Pineto	36	13	11	12	42:45	50
8	Gubbio	36	11	15	10	31:32	48
9	Ternana	36	14	11	11	44:40	48
10	Vis Pesaro	36	11	13	12	38:36	46
11	Livorno	36	12	7	17	39:51	43
12	Forli FC	36	10	10	16	41:52	40
13	Carpi	36	10	10	16	35:48	40
14	Perugia	36	8	14	14	38:44	38
15	Guidonia 1937	36	8	14	14	30:36	38
16	Sambenedettese	36	8	13	15	30:37	37
17	Sassari Torres	36	6	18	12	32:45	36
18	Bra	36	6	14	16	37:54	32
19	US Pontedera	36	3	11	22	27:62	20
20	Rimini	0	0	0	0	0:0	0