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Sambenedettese vs Livorno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B Stadio Comunale Riviera delle Palme, San Benedetto del Tronto
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sambenedettese host Livorno in the Serie C - Group B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Livorno have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Sambenedettese have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Livorno slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.50) back Livorno to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Sambenedettese
35%
Draws
32%
Livorno
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Livorno have won more games recently than Sambenedettese.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Livorno here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sambenedettese Clean Sheet 16%
Livorno Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambenedettese Livorno
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Serie C - Group B
Sambenedettese vs Livorno
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Livorno vs Sambenedettese
2:1
May 14, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Sambenedettese vs Livorno
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambenedettese 30 / 100
Livorno 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambenedettese Livorno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sambenedettese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sambenedettese found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Livorno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Sambenedettese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sambenedettese VS Livorno
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambenedettese

(Home)
17 Oct
Vado
2 : 2
Sambenedettese
11 Oct
Sambenedettese
1 : 1
Latina
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3
Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Campobasso
21 Sept
Pianese
1 : 1
Sambenedettese
Page 1 of 6

Livorno

(Away)
16 Oct
Livorno
4 : 4
Grosseto
11 Oct
Forli FC
1 : 1
Livorno
03 Oct
Livorno
0 : 1
Pescara
26 Sept
Livorno
3 : 2
Pianese
21 Sept
Guidonia 1937
1 : 1
Livorno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spezia 10 9 1 0 18:4 28
2 Ravenna 10 6 2 2 16:6 20
3 Grosseto 10 5 4 1 21:13 19
4 Reggiana 9 5 2 2 14:7 17
5 Guidonia 1937 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
6 Livorno 10 4 4 2 15:14 16
7 Perugia 10 5 1 4 14:15 16
8 Pescara 10 4 3 3 13:12 15
9 Sassari Torres 10 4 3 3 11:12 15
10 Latina 10 3 4 3 10:10 13
11 Vado 10 3 3 4 10:10 12
12 Atalanta U23 9 4 0 5 10:13 12
13 Campobasso 10 3 3 4 14:19 12
14 Forli FC 10 2 5 3 16:16 11
15 Ostiamare 10 2 3 5 9:12 9
16 Pianese 10 1 5 4 6:10 8
17 Pineto 9 1 5 3 6:11 8
18 Sambenedettese 10 1 4 5 14:17 7
19 Gubbio 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
20 Vis Pesaro 9 1 1 7 10:20 4
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)