Sport Picks
Sambenedettese vs Livorno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
Sambenedettese host Livorno in the Serie C - Group B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Livorno have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Sambenedettese have conceded 1.43 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor Livorno slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 28, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.25 - 1.50) back Livorno to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Livorno have won more games recently than Sambenedettese.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Livorno here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sambenedettese | Livorno |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 6 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.43 | 1.17 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sambenedettese found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Livorno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.
Sambenedettese has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sambenedettese
(Home)Livorno
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 18:4 | 28 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 16:6 | 20 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 21:13 | 19 |
| 4 | Reggiana | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 14:7 | 17 |
| 5 | Guidonia 1937 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 14:10 | 16 |
| 6 | Livorno | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 16 |
| 7 | Perugia | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 14:15 | 16 |
| 8 | Pescara | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:12 | 15 |
| 9 | Sassari Torres | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:12 | 15 |
| 10 | Latina | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 11 | Vado | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 12 |
| 12 | Atalanta U23 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:13 | 12 |
| 13 | Campobasso | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 14 | Forli FC | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 16:16 | 11 |
| 15 | Ostiamare | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 16 | Pianese | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6:10 | 8 |
| 17 | Pineto | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6:11 | 8 |
| 18 | Sambenedettese | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 14:17 | 7 |
| 19 | Gubbio | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10:20 | 7 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10:20 | 4 |