Sport Picks
Match Events
42'
42'
Guzzo C.
46'
46'
Palermo F.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Sambiase and USD Ragusa finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
35%
15%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sambiase
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Sambiase carry the better recent record into this one.
- 50% — that's where the model lands on Sambiase taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Sambiase have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Sambiase Clean Sheet 68%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sambiase | USD Ragusa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 6 |
| Draws | 9 | 12 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.84 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 18, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs USD Ragusa
1:1
Sep 21, 2025 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Sambiase
1:2
Mar 2, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Sambiase vs USD Ragusa
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Sambiase
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sambiase Compare
Top Goalscorer Palermo F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
USD Ragusa Compare
Top Goalscorer Guzzo C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sambiase 77 / 100
USD Ragusa 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sambiase USD Ragusa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sambiase Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sambiase's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
USD Ragusa has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.
Sambiase went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sambiase VS USD Ragusa
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sambiase
(Home) 20 Sept
Milazzo
0 : 1 Sambiase
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0 ASD Modica Calcio
12 Sept
Digiesse PraiaTortora
1 : 1 Sambiase
06 Sept
Sambiase
2 : 1 Gela
08 Aug
Salernitana
2 : 1 Sambiase
Page 1 of 7
16 Sept
Sambiase
1 : 0 ASD Modica Calcio
06 Sept
Sambiase
2 : 1 Gela
26 Apr
Sambiase
1 : 1 Nissa
02 Apr
Sambiase
3 : 1 Paterno
22 Mar
Sambiase
2 : 1 Gela
Page 1 of 4
USD Ragusa
(Away) 20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0 USD Ragusa
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1 Lamezia
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1 USD Ragusa
06 Sept
USD Ragusa
2 : 2 ASD Modica Calcio
10 May
USD Ragusa
0 : 0 ACR Messina
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0 USD Ragusa
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1 USD Ragusa
26 Apr
AS Acireale
0 : 0 USD Ragusa
12 Apr
ACR Messina
1 : 0 USD Ragusa
29 Mar
A.C. Savoia
2 : 0 USD Ragusa
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A.C. Savoia | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 63:29 | 69 |
| 2 | Nissa | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 51:27 | 67 |
| 3 | Reggina | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 44:23 | 66 |
| 4 | Athletic Palermo | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 59:47 | 60 |
| 5 | Gelbison | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 44:32 | 60 |
| 6 | Sambiase | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 38:30 | 53 |
| 7 | Igea Virtus | 34 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 49:36 | 53 |
| 8 | Milazzo | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:36 | 44 |
| 9 | Gela | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 41:44 | 43 |
| 10 | Lamezia | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 43:35 | 42 |
| 11 | Castrumfavara | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38:47 | 38 |
| 12 | Enna | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 50:53 | 36 |
| 13 | Vibonese | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 32:47 | 35 |
| 14 | USD Ragusa | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 23:34 | 34 |
| 15 | ACR Messina | 34 | 11 | 13 | 10 | 28:33 | 32 |
| 16 | AS Acireale | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 37:50 | 32 |
| 17 | Sancataldese | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 31:49 | 29 |
| 18 | Paterno | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22:72 | 19 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)
