Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sambonifacese vs Caravaggio Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group B 2013/2014 game between Sambonifacese and Caravaggio finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Caravaggio.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Sambonifacese
30%
Draws
58%
Caravaggio
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Caravaggio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Caravaggio come out ahead of Sambonifacese on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Sambonifacese Clean Sheet 19%
Caravaggio Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sambonifacese Caravaggio
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 18 18
Goals Scored 0.93 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2014 Serie D - Group B
Caravaggio vs Sambonifacese
1:1
Dec 15, 2013 Serie D - Group B
Sambonifacese vs Caravaggio
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sambonifacese 32 / 100
Caravaggio 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sambonifacese Caravaggio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Caravaggio conceded in 84% of 32 recent games.

Sambonifacese found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Sambonifacese has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Caravaggio
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sambonifacese

(Home)
04 May
Sambonifacese
2 : 4
Pro Sesto
27 Apr
Caravaggio
1 : 1
Sambonifacese
17 Apr
Pro Piacenza
2 : 0
Sambonifacese
13 Apr
Sambonifacese
0 : 2
Lecco
06 Apr
MapelloBonate
4 : 3
Sambonifacese
Page 1 of 6

Caravaggio

(Away)
17 May
Caravaggio
2 : 3
Ciserano-Bergamo
04 May
Caravaggio
0 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Apr
Real Calepina
0 : 1
Caravaggio
17 Apr
Caravaggio
0 : 0
Brusaporto
13 Apr
Brian Lignano
2 : 2
Caravaggio
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pro Piacenza 34 19 9 6 69:45 66
2 Olginatese 34 14 15 5 43:25 57
3 Piacenza 34 16 9 9 59:46 57
4 Seregno Calcio 34 15 11 8 54:46 56
5 Inveruno 34 15 10 9 65:43 55
6 Ponte San Pietro 34 14 11 9 44:41 53
7 Pro Sesto 34 14 10 10 38:32 52
8 Caravaggio 34 12 14 8 54:40 50
9 Lecco 34 12 14 8 50:43 50
10 Aurora Seriate 34 12 10 12 35:39 46
11 Legnago Salus 34 12 8 14 44:50 44
12 Castellana 34 12 6 16 39:45 42
13 MapelloBonate 34 11 6 17 44:56 39
14 AlzanoCene 34 8 12 14 32:44 36
15 Borgomanero 34 9 9 16 43:56 36
16 Gozzano 34 8 10 16 35:41 34
17 Darfo Boario 34 7 8 19 40:61 29
18 Sambonifacese 34 5 10 19 34:69 25
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2013/2014 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2013/2014 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2013/2014 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2013/2014 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2013/2014 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2013/2014 (Play Out)