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Samegrelo vs Samgurali II

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2018
Samegrelo Logo

Samegrelo

1 - 1
FT
Samgurali II Logo

Samgurali II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Samegrelo
15%
Draws
42%
Samgurali II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samegrelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Samegrelo lately — more wins on the board than Samgurali II.
  • Win probability leans Samegrelo's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 20%
Samgurali II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samegrelo Samgurali II
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 11 8
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.63 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.6 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2018 Liga 3
Samgurali II vs Samegrelo
2:1
Jul 8, 2018 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Samgurali II
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samegrelo 40 / 100
Samgurali II 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samegrelo Samgurali II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samegrelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samegrelo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Samgurali II let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Difficult form: Samgurali II registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samegrelo VS Samgurali II
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samegrelo

(Home)
07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3
Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3
Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0
FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0
Samegrelo
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Samgurali II

(Away)
21 Jul
Samgurali II
0 : 2
Gagra
10 Jun
Real Varketili 2
1 : 5
Samgurali II
21 Apr
Samgurali II
1 : 3
Telavi
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Dusheti
5 : 0
Samgurali II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Zugdidi 38 27 3 8 65:31 84
2 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 38 25 7 6 78:40 79
3 Guria 38 21 10 7 59:31 73
4 Iberia 1999 2 38 21 4 13 60:50 67
5 FC Kolkheti Khobi 38 17 10 11 54:35 61
6 Borjomi 38 18 7 13 66:56 61
7 Dusheti 38 19 4 15 64:55 61
8 Meshakhte Tkibuli 38 17 6 15 59:54 57
9 Gori 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Betlemi Keda 38 14 9 15 52:58 51
11 Samegrelo 38 13 9 16 63:55 48
12 FC Tbilisi 2025 38 13 8 17 58:58 47
13 Chiatura 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
14 Mark Stars Tbilisi 38 13 7 18 59:65 46
15 Algeti Marneuli 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
16 Khoni 38 12 9 17 44:52 45
17 FC Gardabani 38 11 6 21 39:63 39
18 Sulori Vani 38 10 6 22 38:77 36
19 Samgurali II 38 8 7 23 40:82 31
20 Matchakhela 38 5 13 20 35:63 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)