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Samegrelo vs Shevardeni Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2017 game between Samegrelo and Shevardeni Tbilisi finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Shevardeni Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Samegrelo
15%
Draws
34%
Shevardeni Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samegrelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samegrelo come out ahead of Shevardeni Tbilisi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Samegrelo's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga 3 2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 10%
Shevardeni Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samegrelo Shevardeni Tbilisi
Matches Played 30 7
Wins 11 2
Draws 4 1
Losses 15 4
Goals Scored 1.63 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2017 Liga 3
Shevardeni Tbilisi vs Samegrelo
12:0
Sep 26, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Shevardeni Tbilisi
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samegrelo 34 / 100
Shevardeni Tbilisi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samegrelo Shevardeni Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Samegrelo scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Shevardeni Tbilisi has conceded goals in 86% of their last 7 outings.

H2H data points to 7.50 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Shevardeni Tbilisi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samegrelo VS Shevardeni Tbilisi
2 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samegrelo

(Home)
07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3
Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3
Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0
FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0
Samegrelo
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Shevardeni Tbilisi

(Away)
22 May
Shevardeni Tbilisi
0 : 1
Merani Martvili
16 May
FC Zugdidi
0 : 0
Shevardeni Tbilisi
10 May
Shevardeni Tbilisi
2 : 3
Spaeri
05 May
Shukura
2 : 1
Shevardeni Tbilisi
28 Apr
Samtredia
1 : 2
Shevardeni Tbilisi
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 13 4 1 49:10 43
2 Telavi 18 12 3 3 56:15 39
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 12 3 3 45:21 39
4 FC Gardabani 18 9 4 5 40:18 31
5 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 7 3 8 37:32 24
6 Khoni 18 5 6 7 13:26 21
7 Chiatura 18 5 2 11 15:33 17
8 Betlemi Keda 18 4 4 10 23:44 16
9 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 3 4 11 9:39 13
10 Samegrelo 18 1 5 12 12:61 8
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2017 (Relegation)