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Samegrelo vs Skuri Tsalenjikha

Georgia Georgia

Pirveli Liga 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samegrelo play Skuri Tsalenjikha in the Pirveli Liga 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Samegrelo averaged 1.59 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Skuri Tsalenjikha averaged 1.13 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. In past meetings, Samegrelo won 2, Skuri Tsalenjikha won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Jun 19, 2017 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.54 for Samegrelo and 1.58 for Skuri Tsalenjikha. This points to a Samegrelo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Samegrelo
31%
Draws
28%
Skuri Tsalenjikha
Draw rate projection: 31% Favored: Samegrelo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Samegrelo picked up more points recently compared to Skuri Tsalenjikha.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.54 vs 1.58 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 14%
Skuri Tsalenjikha Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samegrelo Skuri Tsalenjikha
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.59 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Skuri Tsalenjikha
2:0
Apr 10, 2017 Liga 3
Skuri Tsalenjikha vs Samegrelo
0:0
May 10, 2016 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Skuri Tsalenjikha vs Samegrelo
0:1
Nov 24, 2015 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Samegrelo vs Skuri Tsalenjikha
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samegrelo 40 / 100
Skuri Tsalenjikha 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samegrelo Skuri Tsalenjikha

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Samegrelo or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Samegrelo attacking → ← attacking Skuri Tsalenjikha

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samegrelo scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Skuri Tsalenjikha let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 0.75 goals.

Samegrelo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Skuri Tsalenjikha lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 30
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.67
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.33