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Samegrelo vs Telavi

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2017
Samegrelo Logo

Samegrelo

1 - 7
FT
Telavi Logo

Telavi

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2017 game between Samegrelo and Telavi finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Telavi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Samegrelo
20%
Draws
46%
Telavi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Telavi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Samegrelo haven't matched Telavi's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Samegrelo Clean Sheet 20%
Telavi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samegrelo Telavi
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 1.63 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2017 Liga 3
Telavi vs Samegrelo
5:0
Oct 11, 2017 Liga 3
Samegrelo vs Telavi
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samegrelo 32 / 100
Telavi 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samegrelo Telavi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samegrelo's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

Telavi let in goals in 55% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Samegrelo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Telavi
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Samegrelo

(Home)
07 Aug
Samegrelo
0 : 3
Merani Martvili
07 Jul
Samegrelo
4 : 3
Didube
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Samegrelo
2 : 0
FC Kolkheti Khobi
21 Nov
Betlemi Keda
1 : 0
Samegrelo
Page 1 of 6

Telavi

(Away)
15 Aug
Kolkheti 1913
1 : 1
Telavi
08 Aug
Telavi
0 : 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo
02 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
1 : 0
Telavi
26 Jul
Iberia 1999 2
0 : 1
Telavi
22 Jun
Telavi
1 : 0
Dusheti
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shevardeni Tbilisi 18 13 4 1 49:10 43
2 Telavi 18 12 3 3 56:15 39
3 Merani Tbilisi 18 12 3 3 45:21 39
4 FC Gardabani 18 9 4 5 40:18 31
5 Mark Stars Tbilisi 18 7 3 8 37:32 24
6 Khoni 18 5 6 7 13:26 21
7 Chiatura 18 5 2 11 15:33 17
8 Betlemi Keda 18 4 4 10 23:44 16
9 FC Kolkheti Khobi 18 3 4 11 9:39 13
10 Samegrelo 18 1 5 12 12:61 8
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2017 (Relegation)