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Samger vs Greater Tomorrow Prediction & H2H Stats

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Boye M.
38' Event
Kassama F.
40' Event
Manneh I.

AI Match Summary

Greater Tomorrow in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Greater Tomorrow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Samger
35%
Draws
24%
Greater Tomorrow
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Samger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Greater Tomorrow lately — more wins on the board than Samger.
  • Samger are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Samger Clean Sheet 68%
Greater Tomorrow Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samger Greater Tomorrow
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 8
Draws 14 10
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 0.77 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2026 GFA League
Greater Tomorrow vs Samger
1:1
Feb 12, 2026 GFA League
Samger vs Greater Tomorrow
2:3
Mar 20, 2024 GFA League
Samger vs Greater Tomorrow
0:0
Dec 21, 2023 GFA League
Greater Tomorrow vs Samger
1:4
May 12, 2023 GFA League
Samger vs Greater Tomorrow
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samger Compare

Top Goalscorer Kassama F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Manneh I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Greater Tomorrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Boye M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sowe A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samger 77 / 100
Greater Tomorrow 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samger Greater Tomorrow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samger Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Samger stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Greater Tomorrow has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Greater Tomorrow lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samger VS Greater Tomorrow
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samger

(Home)
22 Jun
Hawks
1 : 1
Samger
17 Jun
Samger
2 : 1
Bombada
11 Jun
Hart Academy
1 : 1
Samger
05 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
1 : 1
Samger
25 May
Samger
1 : 1
Steve Biko
Page 1 of 6

Greater Tomorrow

(Away)
22 Jun
Real Banjul
2 : 3
Greater Tomorrow
16 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
0 : 1
BST Galaxy
11 Jun
Brikama United
3 : 0
Greater Tomorrow
05 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
1 : 1
Samger
25 May
Greater Tomorrow
0 : 1
Medina United
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)