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Samgurali II vs Khoni Prediction & H2H Stats

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2018
Samgurali II Logo

Samgurali II

1 - 2
FT
Khoni Logo

Khoni

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2018 game between Samgurali II and Khoni finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Khoni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Samgurali II
15%
Draws
42%
Khoni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samgurali II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Khoni come out ahead of Samgurali II on wins alone.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Samgurali II taking it.
  • Regular Liga 3 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Samgurali II Clean Sheet 15%
Khoni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samgurali II Khoni
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.19 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2018 Liga 3
Samgurali II vs Khoni
1:2
May 14, 2018 Liga 3
Khoni vs Samgurali II
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samgurali II 35 / 100
Khoni 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samgurali II Khoni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Khoni conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Samgurali II found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Khoni lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samgurali II VS Khoni
1.13 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Samgurali II

(Home)
21 Jul
Samgurali II
0 : 2
Gagra
10 Jun
Real Varketili 2
1 : 5
Samgurali II
21 Apr
Samgurali II
1 : 3
Telavi
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Dusheti
5 : 0
Samgurali II
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Khoni

(Away)
27 Aug
Khoni
1 : 2
Dila Gori
06 Dec
Khoni
2 : 1
Sulori Vani
29 Nov
Borjomi
0 : 2
Khoni
22 Nov
Khoni
1 : 4
Algeti Marneuli
12 Nov
Gori
1 : 0
Khoni
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Zugdidi 38 27 3 8 65:31 84
2 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 38 25 7 6 78:40 79
3 Guria 38 21 10 7 59:31 73
4 Iberia 1999 2 38 21 4 13 60:50 67
5 FC Kolkheti Khobi 38 17 10 11 54:35 61
6 Borjomi 38 18 7 13 66:56 61
7 Dusheti 38 19 4 15 64:55 61
8 Meshakhte Tkibuli 38 17 6 15 59:54 57
9 Gori 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Betlemi Keda 38 14 9 15 52:58 51
11 Samegrelo 38 13 9 16 63:55 48
12 FC Tbilisi 2025 38 13 8 17 58:58 47
13 Chiatura 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
14 Mark Stars Tbilisi 38 13 7 18 59:65 46
15 Algeti Marneuli 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
16 Khoni 38 12 9 17 44:52 45
17 FC Gardabani 38 11 6 21 39:63 39
18 Sulori Vani 38 10 6 22 38:77 36
19 Samgurali II 38 8 7 23 40:82 31
20 Matchakhela 38 5 13 20 35:63 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)