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Samgurali II vs Meshakhte Tkibuli

Georgia Georgia

Liga 3 2018
Samgurali II Logo

Samgurali II

2 - 1
FT
Meshakhte Tkibuli Logo

Meshakhte Tkibuli

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Samgurali II in this Liga 3 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samgurali II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Samgurali II
30%
Draws
35%
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Samgurali II have won more games recently than Meshakhte Tkibuli.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Samgurali II Clean Sheet 20%
Meshakhte Tkibuli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samgurali II Meshakhte Tkibuli
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 3
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 1.2 0.81
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.92 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2018 Liga 3
Samgurali II vs Meshakhte Tkibuli
2:1
Mar 17, 2018 Liga 3
Meshakhte Tkibuli vs Samgurali II
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samgurali II 36 / 100
Meshakhte Tkibuli 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samgurali II Meshakhte Tkibuli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Meshakhte Tkibuli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Samgurali II found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Meshakhte Tkibuli's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Samgurali II went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samgurali II

(Home)
21 Jul
Samgurali II
0 : 2
Gagra
10 Jun
Real Varketili 2
1 : 5
Samgurali II
21 Apr
Samgurali II
1 : 3
Telavi
06 Dec
Samgurali II
2 : 1
Samegrelo
29 Nov
Dusheti
5 : 0
Samgurali II
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Meshakhte Tkibuli

(Away)
19 Sept
Gagra
1 : 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli
14 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
0 : 1
FC Rustavi
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2
Spaeri
31 Aug
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 2
Meshakhte Tkibuli
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Zugdidi 38 27 3 8 65:31 84
2 Bakhmaro Chokhatauri 38 25 7 6 78:40 79
3 Guria 38 21 10 7 59:31 73
4 Iberia 1999 2 38 21 4 13 60:50 67
5 FC Kolkheti Khobi 38 17 10 11 54:35 61
6 Borjomi 38 18 7 13 66:56 61
7 Dusheti 38 19 4 15 64:55 61
8 Meshakhte Tkibuli 38 17 6 15 59:54 57
9 Gori 38 14 11 13 58:48 53
10 Betlemi Keda 38 14 9 15 52:58 51
11 Samegrelo 38 13 9 16 63:55 48
12 FC Tbilisi 2025 38 13 8 17 58:58 47
13 Chiatura 38 12 11 15 39:47 47
14 Mark Stars Tbilisi 38 13 7 18 59:65 46
15 Algeti Marneuli 38 13 7 18 54:64 46
16 Khoni 38 12 9 17 44:52 45
17 FC Gardabani 38 11 6 21 39:63 39
18 Sulori Vani 38 10 6 22 38:77 36
19 Samgurali II 38 8 7 23 40:82 31
20 Matchakhela 38 5 13 20 35:63 28
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2019 (Main)
Promotion - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2018 (Relegation)