Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 26 May Stadium, Tsqaltubo
Samgurali Logo

Samgurali

2 - 3
FT
Dinamo Tbilisi Logo

Dinamo Tbilisi

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gegetchkori L.
(Penalty)
27'
Ninua N.
28' Event
Do Couto M.
Assist: Psaltis P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Dinamo Tbilisi in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Dinamo Tbilisi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Samgurali
30%
Draws
64%
Dinamo Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Dinamo Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Dinamo Tbilisi have won more games recently than Samgurali.
  • Win probability leans Dinamo Tbilisi's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 10%
Dinamo Tbilisi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samgurali Dinamo Tbilisi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi
2:3
Jun 18, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali
5:3
Apr 25, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi
1:2
Feb 2, 2026 Club Friendly
Dinamo Tbilisi vs Samgurali
1:1
Oct 22, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Dinamo Tbilisi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samgurali Compare

Top Goalscorer Gegetchkori L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Dinamo Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Do Couto M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Doltmurziev K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samgurali 10 / 100
Dinamo Tbilisi 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samgurali Dinamo Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dinamo Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Samgurali scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Dinamo Tbilisi conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Solid form: Samgurali remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Samgurali VS Dinamo Tbilisi
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samgurali

(Home)
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2
Samgurali
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3
Dila Gori
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Samgurali
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
Page 1 of 6

Dinamo Tbilisi

(Away)
04 Oct
Iberia 1999
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gagra
10 Sept
Dinamo Tbilisi
0 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
06 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
1 : 1
Dinamo Tbilisi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
2 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Iberia 1999 27 14 4 9 38:30 46
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)