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Samgurali vs Spaeri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 26 May Stadium, Tsqaltubo
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Samgurali host Spaeri in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Samgurali at 1.5 goals for, 1.96 against; Spaeri at 1.34 for, 1.66 against. Past meetings favor Samgurali slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 22, 2026, ending 3:4. Model xG sits at 1.81 vs 1.75, favoring Samgurali. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Samgurali
30%
Draws
47%
Spaeri
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spaeri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

23% / Low Confidence
  • Samgurali have won more games recently than Spaeri.
  • Samgurali are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 12%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samgurali Spaeri
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 3 10
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.5 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.96 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Samgurali
3:4
Jul 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Spaeri vs Samgurali
0:1
May 17, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Spaeri
0:0
Mar 16, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Samgurali
4:1
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Samgurali vs Spaeri
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samgurali 38 / 100
Spaeri 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samgurali Spaeri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samgurali Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samgurali scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Spaeri has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Spaeri registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samgurali VS Spaeri
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samgurali

(Home)
19 Sept
Samgurali
2 : 3
Dinamo Tbilisi
14 Sept
Torpedo Kutaisi
3 : 2
Samgurali
09 Sept
Samgurali
1 : 3
Dila Gori
05 Sept
Iberia 1999
2 : 1
Samgurali
30 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
Page 1 of 6

Spaeri

(Away)
21 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 4
Dila Gori
13 Sept
Iberia 1999
1 : 0
Spaeri
09 Sept
Spaeri
1 : 1
FC Rustavi
05 Sept
Meshakhte Tkibuli
2 : 2
Spaeri
30 Aug
Dinamo Batumi
3 : 0
Spaeri
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dinamo Tbilisi 27 13 9 5 45:30 48
2 Dinamo Batumi 27 13 8 6 46:36 47
3 FC Rustavi 27 13 7 7 32:23 46
4 Iberia 1999 27 14 4 9 38:30 46
5 Dila Gori 27 12 4 11 38:30 40
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 27 9 9 9 43:34 36
7 Samgurali 27 9 5 13 38:52 32
8 Gagra 27 6 11 10 25:37 29
9 Spaeri 27 5 10 12 34:43 25
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 27 2 11 14 20:44 17
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)