Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samgurali vs Spaeri

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 26 May Stadium, Tsqaltubo
Samgurali Logo

Samgurali

0 - 0
FT
Spaeri Logo

Spaeri

Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Jefinho
46'
Sub
Wellissol In: Tsetskhladze N.
Out: Wellissol
46'
Sub
Jefinho In: Papava L.
Out: Jefinho
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga game between Samgurali and Spaeri finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Samgurali
15%
Draws
16%
Spaeri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samgurali

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Samgurali carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Samgurali a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 16%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samgurali Spaeri
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.46 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Spaeri vs Samgurali
0:1
May 17, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Spaeri
0:0
Mar 16, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Samgurali
4:1
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Samgurali vs Spaeri
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samgurali 57 / 100
Spaeri 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samgurali Spaeri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samgurali Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samgurali scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Samgurali stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Spaeri has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Samgurali VS Spaeri
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samgurali

(Home)
09 Aug
Meshakhte Tkibuli
1 : 2
Samgurali
01 Aug
Samgurali
1 : 0
Meshakhte Tkibuli
26 Jul
WIT Georgia
2 : 3
Samgurali
20 Jul
Spaeri
0 : 1
Samgurali
24 Jun
Gagra
0 : 0
Samgurali
Page 1 of 6

Spaeri

(Away)
09 Aug
Spaeri
1 : 2
Dinamo Tbilisi
01 Aug
FC Rustavi
3 : 1
Spaeri
25 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
1 : 5
Spaeri
20 Jul
Spaeri
0 : 1
Samgurali
17 Jul
Spaeri
2 : 3
Urartu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Rustavi 20 10 5 5 23:18 35
2 Dinamo Tbilisi 20 9 7 4 33:22 34
3 Iberia 1999 19 10 4 5 27:18 34
4 Dinamo Batumi 20 7 7 6 30:32 28
5 Samgurali 20 8 4 8 27:33 28
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 20 7 6 7 30:20 27
7 Dila Gori 19 8 2 9 21:19 26
8 Gagra 20 5 8 7 20:26 23
9 Spaeri 20 5 7 8 26:27 22
10 Meshakhte Tkibuli 20 1 8 11 14:36 11
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)