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Sammaurese vs AS Sora

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Cenci L.
34' Event
Curatolo D.
57' Event
Curatolo D.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 game between Sammaurese and AS Sora finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Sammaurese
20%
Draws
51%
AS Sora
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AS Sora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Sora carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Sammaurese Clean Sheet 16%
AS Sora Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sammaurese AS Sora
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 8
Draws 7 9
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 0.83 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Sammaurese vs AS Sora
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group F
AS Sora vs Sammaurese
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sammaurese Compare

Top Goalscorer Cenci L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

AS Sora Compare

Top Goalscorer Curatolo D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sammaurese 31 / 100
AS Sora 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sammaurese AS Sora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Defensive concern: AS Sora conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Sammaurese scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Sammaurese stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sammaurese VS AS Sora
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sammaurese

(Home)
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0
Sammaurese
26 Apr
Sammaurese
2 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0
Sammaurese
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0
Sammaurese
12 Apr
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Aquila Calcio
Page 1 of 6

AS Sora

(Away)
03 May
Castelfidardo
0 : 2
AS Sora
26 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 1
Unipomezia
19 Apr
Recanatese
2 : 0
AS Sora
12 Apr
AS Sora
2 : 2
San Marino Calcio
02 Apr
Atletico Ascoli
1 : 0
AS Sora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)