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Sammaurese vs Maceratese Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Ruani E.
31' Event
Adrian O.
52' Event
Marras N.

AI Match Summary

Maceratese in this Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Maceratese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sammaurese
20%
Draws
40%
Maceratese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Maceratese lately — more wins on the board than Sammaurese.
  • Model gives Sammaurese a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Sammaurese Clean Sheet 20%
Maceratese Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sammaurese Maceratese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 19 15
Goals Scored 0.83 1.23
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 1.21
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Sammaurese vs Maceratese
0:4
Sep 28, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Maceratese vs Sammaurese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sammaurese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.48

Maceratese Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruani E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Adrian O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sammaurese 36 / 100
Maceratese 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sammaurese Maceratese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maceratese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Maceratese registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sammaurese scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Sammaurese VS Maceratese
0.29 Goals Scored 1
1.43 Goals Conceded 1.63
43% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sammaurese

(Home)
03 May
San Marino Calcio
1 : 0
Sammaurese
26 Apr
Sammaurese
2 : 0
Atletico Ascoli
19 Apr
Ancona
3 : 0
Sammaurese
15 Apr
Termoli
1 : 0
Sammaurese
12 Apr
Sammaurese
0 : 0
Aquila Calcio
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Maceratese

(Away)
27 Sept
Maceratese
1 : 1
Santegidiese
20 Sept
Pietralunga
0 : 2
Maceratese
16 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 1
Ancona
13 Sept
Atletico Ascoli
2 : 1
Maceratese
06 Sept
Maceratese
0 : 3
Teramo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ostiamare 34 24 7 3 65:25 79
2 Ancona 34 23 7 4 59:22 76
3 Teramo 34 21 11 2 65:29 74
4 Atletico Ascoli 34 14 13 7 55:35 55
5 Notaresco Calcio 34 13 12 9 43:31 51
6 Aquila Calcio 34 14 9 11 53:44 51
7 Giulianova 34 11 16 7 40:31 49
8 Vigor Senigallia 34 12 13 9 45:40 49
9 Fossombrone 34 11 11 12 28:34 44
10 Unipomezia 34 10 12 12 43:42 42
11 Termoli 34 8 15 11 27:30 39
12 Maceratese 34 11 5 18 43:49 38
13 AS Sora 34 9 11 14 40:50 38
14 Recanatese 34 8 8 18 39:57 32
15 San Marino Calcio 34 8 7 19 33:61 31
16 Calcio Chieti 34 8 11 15 31:55 24
17 Castelfidardo 34 6 5 23 30:65 23
18 Sammaurese 34 5 7 22 30:69 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group F 2025/2026 (Play Out)