Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samoa U17 vs New Caledonia U17

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U17 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
56' Event

AI Match Summary

The OFC Championship U17 2015 game between Samoa U17 and New Caledonia U17 finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward New Caledonia U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Samoa U17
15%
Draws
21%
New Caledonia U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samoa U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Samoa U17 haven't matched New Caledonia U17's recent run of results.
  • Samoa U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 74%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Samoa U17 Clean Sheet 10%
New Caledonia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samoa U17 New Caledonia U17
Matches Played 14 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 1 3
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.36 1.97
Goals Conceded 4.36 3.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 3.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2023 OFC Championship U16
New Caledonia U17 vs Samoa U17
4:0
Jan 13, 2015 OFC Championship U16
Samoa U17 vs New Caledonia U17
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samoa U17 83 / 100
New Caledonia U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samoa U17 New Caledonia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samoa U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

New Caledonia U17 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

New Caledonia U17 lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Samoa U17 scored in 50% of their last 14 games.

Scoring Trends

Samoa U17 VS New Caledonia U17
1.2 Goals Scored 2.25
3.8 Goals Conceded 3.13
80% Over 1.5 100%
80% Over 2.5 88%
60% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Samoa U17

(Home)
21 Jan
New Caledonia U17
4 : 0
Samoa U17
15 Jan
Tonga U17
0 : 6
Samoa U17
12 Jan
Fiji U17
3 : 0
Samoa U17
19 Feb
Solomon Islands U17
12 : 0
Samoa U17
16 Feb
Fiji U17
3 : 0
Samoa U17
Page 1 of 3

New Caledonia U17

(Away)
09 Nov
Morocco U17
16 : 0
New Caledonia U17
06 Nov
Japan U17
0 : 0
New Caledonia U17
03 Nov
New Caledonia U17
1 : 6
Portugal U17
17 Nov
Iran U17
5 : 0
New Caledonia U17
14 Nov
Brazil U17
9 : 0
New Caledonia U17
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand U17 5 5 0 0 29:5 15
2 New Caledonia U17 5 4 0 1 22:8 12
3 Papua New Guinea U17 5 2 1 2 9:5 7
4 Fiji U17 5 2 1 2 10:12 7
5 Samoa U17 5 1 0 4 7:22 3
6 Cook Islands U17 5 0 0 5 2:27 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2015 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tahiti U17 4 4 0 0 29:0 12
2 Vanuatu U17 4 3 0 1 24:3 9
3 Solomon Islands U17 4 2 0 2 24:6 6
4 Tonga U17 4 1 0 3 3:32 3
5 American Samoa U17 4 0 0 4 0:39 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2015 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U17 2015 (Play Offs)