Sport Picks
Samoa U19 vs New Caledonia U19
Australia & Oceania
OFC Championship U19 2022 
Match Events
34'
34'
Jone P.
45'
45'
Read W.
66'
66'
Read W.
AI Match Summary
New Caledonia U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Caledonia U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: New Caledonia U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to New Caledonia U19 lately — more wins on the board than Samoa U19.
- Model gives New Caledonia U19 a 57% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
- History favors New Caledonia U19 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Samoa U19 Clean Sheet 10%
New Caledonia U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Samoa U19 | New Caledonia U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 14 | 25 |
| Wins | 5 | 14 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 8 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 2.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.29 | 1.52 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 1, 2026 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs Samoa U19
4:2
Jul 12, 2024 OFC Championship U19
New Caledonia U19 vs Samoa U19
2:1
Sep 15, 2022 OFC Championship U19
Samoa U19 vs New Caledonia U19
0:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Samoa U19 Compare
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
New Caledonia U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Read W.
3 Goals Assists Leader Jone P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Samoa U19 22 / 100
New Caledonia U19 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Samoa U19 New Caledonia U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick New Caledonia U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: New Caledonia U19 conceded in 80% of 25 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.
Samoa U19 scored in 64% of their last 14 games.
Difficult form: New Caledonia U19 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Samoa U19 VS New Caledonia U19
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Samoa U19
(Home) 12 Sept
Samoa U19
3 : 1 Vanuatu U19
07 Sept
Samoa U19
0 : 2 Solomon Islands U19
04 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
4 : 2 Samoa U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2 Samoa U19
16 Jul
Tahiti U19
4 : 0 Samoa U19
Page 1 of 3
12 Sept
Samoa U19
3 : 1 Vanuatu U19
07 Sept
Samoa U19
0 : 2 Solomon Islands U19
06 Jul
Samoa U19
3 : 1 Papua New Guinea U19
15 Sept
Samoa U19
0 : 4 New Caledonia U19
01 Jun
Samoa U19
1 : 1 Tonga U19
New Caledonia U19
(Away) 13 Sept
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 0 New Caledonia U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
6 : 1 New Caledonia U19
06 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 7 New Caledonia U19
03 Sept
New Caledonia U19
1 : 3 Solomon Islands U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2 Samoa U19
Page 1 of 5
13 Sept
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 0 New Caledonia U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
6 : 1 New Caledonia U19
06 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 7 New Caledonia U19
14 Jul
Solomon Islands U19
2 : 3 New Caledonia U19
08 Jul
Papua New Guinea U19
1 : 2 New Caledonia U19
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Solomon Islands U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 3 | Cook Islands U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:11 | 3 |
| 4 | American Samoa U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:19 | 0 |
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tahiti U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11:0 | 7 |
| 2 | Fiji U19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:0 | 7 |
| 3 | Papua New Guinea U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Tonga U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:14 | 0 |
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Caledonia U19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Samoa U19 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Vanuatu U19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | 0 |
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
