Sport Picks
Samoa U19 vs Papua New Guinea U19 Prediction & H2H Stats
Australia & Oceania
OFC Championship U19 2024 
Match Events
38'
38'
Trainor P.
47'
47'
Trainor P.
50'
50'
Moses N.
AI Match Summary
The OFC Championship U19 2024 game between Samoa U19 and Papua New Guinea U19 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samoa U19.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Papua New Guinea U19
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Samoa U19 haven't matched Papua New Guinea U19's recent run of results.
- Model gives Papua New Guinea U19 a 64% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Samoa U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Papua New Guinea U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Samoa U19 | Papua New Guinea U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 14 | 22 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 8 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 1.55 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.29 | 2.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 2.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 OFC Championship U19
Papua New Guinea U19 vs Samoa U19
4:2
Jul 6, 2024 OFC Championship U19
Samoa U19 vs Papua New Guinea U19
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Samoa U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Trainor P.
2 Goals Assists Leader Gobbi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Papua New Guinea U19 Compare
Top Goalscorer Moses N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.5
Avg xA / game 1.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Samoa U19 10 / 100
Papua New Guinea U19 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Samoa U19 Papua New Guinea U19
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Papua New Guinea U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Samoa U19 scored in 64% of their last 14 outings.
Papua New Guinea U19 let in goals in 77% of their last 22 matches.
Samoa U19 went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Samoa U19 VS Papua New Guinea U19
1.13 Goals Scored 2
3.5 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Samoa U19
(Home) 12 Sept
Samoa U19
3 : 1 Vanuatu U19
07 Sept
Samoa U19
0 : 2 Solomon Islands U19
04 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
4 : 2 Samoa U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2 Samoa U19
16 Jul
Tahiti U19
4 : 0 Samoa U19
Page 1 of 3
12 Sept
Samoa U19
3 : 1 Vanuatu U19
07 Sept
Samoa U19
0 : 2 Solomon Islands U19
06 Jul
Samoa U19
3 : 1 Papua New Guinea U19
15 Sept
Samoa U19
0 : 4 New Caledonia U19
01 Jun
Samoa U19
1 : 1 Tonga U19
Papua New Guinea U19
(Away) 11 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
4 : 0 Fiji U19
06 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
0 : 7 New Caledonia U19
04 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
4 : 2 Samoa U19
31 Aug
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 0 Papua New Guinea U19
13 Jun
Papua New Guinea U19
5 : 1 Cook Islands U19
Page 1 of 5
31 Aug
Solomon Islands U19
1 : 0 Papua New Guinea U19
07 Jun
Tonga U19
0 : 4 Papua New Guinea U19
15 Jul
Vanuatu U19
3 : 2 Papua New Guinea U19
06 Jul
Samoa U19
3 : 1 Papua New Guinea U19
19 Sept
New Zealand U19
5 : 0 Papua New Guinea U19
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Solomon Islands U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Fiji U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Tahiti U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Vanuatu U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:8 | 0 |
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2024 (5th-8th places)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2024 (5th-8th places)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand U19 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 18:0 | 9 |
| 2 | New Caledonia U19 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 6 |
| 3 | Samoa U19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Papua New Guinea U19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:15 | 0 |
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2024 (5th-8th places)
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2024 (5th-8th places)
