Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Samoa U19 vs Vanuatu U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 Samoa Football HQ, Apia
Sat, Sep 12, 2026
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 0-3. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Samoa U19 have averaged 1.31 scored and 2.38 conceded recently, against Vanuatu U19's 1.45 scored and 2.27 conceded. Head-to-head, Samoa U19 have won 1 to Vanuatu U19's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 12, 2022, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.19 - 2.19) back Vanuatu U19 to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Samoa U19
20%
Draws
80%
Vanuatu U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vanuatu U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Vanuatu U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Samoa U19 taking it.
  • Vanuatu U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Samoa U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Vanuatu U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samoa U19 Vanuatu U19
Matches Played 13 22
Wins 4 7
Draws 1 4
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.31 1.45
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2022 OFC Championship U19
Vanuatu U19 vs Samoa U19
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samoa U19 34 / 100
Vanuatu U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samoa U19 Vanuatu U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samoa U19 found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (13 games).

Vanuatu U19 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 22 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Vanuatu U19's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Samoa U19 VS Vanuatu U19
1 Goals Scored 1.63
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samoa U19

(Home)
07 Sept
Samoa U19
0 : 2
Solomon Islands U19
04 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
16 Jul
Tahiti U19
4 : 0
Samoa U19
12 Jul
New Caledonia U19
2 : 1
Samoa U19
Page 1 of 3

Vanuatu U19

(Away)
08 Sept
Vanuatu U19
0 : 6
New Zealand U19
04 Sept
Vanuatu U19
1 : 1
Tahiti U19
01 Sept
Fiji U19
7 : 2
Vanuatu U19
21 Aug
Vanuatu U19
3 : 3
Australia U17
15 Jul
Vanuatu U19
3 : 2
Papua New Guinea U19
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

5th place
Papua New Guinea U19 -
Fiji U19 -
Samoa U19 -
Vanuatu U19 -