Sport Picks
Samoa vs New Zealand
World
World Championship 2026 Go Media Stadium, Auckland 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
New Zealand in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored New Zealand.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to New Zealand lately — more wins on the board than Samoa.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Samoa | New Zealand |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0 | 3.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 5.5 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 5.50 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Samoa Compare
New Zealand Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 8.00 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: New Zealand conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.
Away concern: New Zealand has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Attacking prowess: Samoa scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Samoa
(Home)New Zealand
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Caledonia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Fiji | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Solomon Islands | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Papua New Guinea | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Tahiti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Vanuatu | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 4 | Samoa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:15 | 0 |
