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Stadium Background

Samoa vs Solomon Islands

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

Pacific Games
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Pacific Games game between Samoa and Solomon Islands finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Solomon Islands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Samoa
15%
Draws
12%
Solomon Islands
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samoa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Medium Confidence
  • Samoa haven't matched Solomon Islands's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Samoa taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Samoa Clean Sheet 10%
Solomon Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samoa Solomon Islands
Matches Played 32 34
Wins 13 17
Draws 1 2
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 3.2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.20 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2023 Pacific Games
Samoa vs Solomon Islands
0:1
Sep 3, 2007 World Championship
Samoa vs Solomon Islands
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samoa 40 / 100
Solomon Islands 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samoa Solomon Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solomon Islands's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 34 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solomon Islands's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Samoa found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Samoa VS Solomon Islands
1 Goals Scored 1.5
3.2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 63%
40% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samoa

(Home)
18 Nov
Samoa
0 : 8
New Zealand
15 Nov
Samoa
0 : 3
Tahiti
12 Oct
Vanuatu
4 : 1
Samoa
09 Sept
Tonga
1 : 2
Samoa
06 Sept
American Samoa
0 : 2
Samoa
Page 1 of 7

Solomon Islands

(Away)
30 Mar
Saint Kitts and Nevis
4 : 2
Solomon Islands
27 Mar
Solomon Islands
2 : 10
Bulgaria
22 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1
Solomon Islands
20 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Solomon Islands
13 Nov
Papua New Guinea
1 : 0
Solomon Islands
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Caledonia 2 2 0 0 15:0 6
2 Cook Islands 2 1 0 1 2:9 3
3 Tonga 2 0 0 2 1:9 0
Promotion - Pacific Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games (9th-12th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vanuatu 2 1 1 0 7:1 4
2 Papua New Guinea 2 1 1 0 4:1 4
3 Tuvalu 2 0 0 2 0:9 0
Promotion - Pacific Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games (9th-12th places)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiji 2 1 1 0 10:0 4
2 Tahiti 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
3 Northern Mariana Islands 2 0 0 2 0:15 0
Promotion - Pacific Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games (9th-12th places)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solomon Islands 2 2 0 0 12:0 6
2 Samoa 2 1 0 1 10:1 3
3 American Samoa 2 0 0 2 0:21 0
Promotion - Pacific Games (Play Offs)
Promotion - Pacific Games (5th-8th places)
Promotion - Pacific Games (9th-12th places)