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Samoa W vs Vanuatu W

World World

Olympic Games Women 2024
Samoa W Logo

Samoa W

1 - 0
FT
Vanuatu W Logo

Vanuatu W

Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Manuleleua L.
(Penalty)
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Samoa W in this Olympic Games Women 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samoa W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Samoa W
15%
Draws
34%
Vanuatu W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samoa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Samoa W have won more games recently than Vanuatu W.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Olympic Games Women 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Samoa W Clean Sheet 14%
Vanuatu W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samoa W Vanuatu W
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 14 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.57 0.96
Goals Conceded 2 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2024 Olympic Games Women
Samoa W vs Vanuatu W
1:0
Mar 7, 2012 Friendly International Women
Samoa W vs Vanuatu W
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samoa W 31 / 100
Vanuatu W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samoa W Vanuatu W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samoa W's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vanuatu W has conceded goals in 75% of their last 24 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Vanuatu W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Samoa W VS Vanuatu W
1.33 Goals Scored 1
2.17 Goals Conceded 2
83% Over 1.5 63%
67% Over 2.5 63%
33% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Samoa W

(Home)
05 Mar
Samoa W
2 : 1
Solomon Islands W
02 Mar
American Samoa W
1 : 0
Samoa W
27 Feb
New Zealand W
8 : 0
Samoa W
19 Jul
Fiji W
0 : 2
Samoa W
16 Jul
Solomon Islands W
2 : 1
Samoa W
Page 1 of 6

Vanuatu W

(Away)
20 Sept
Fiji W
0 : 1
Vanuatu W
17 Sept
Solomon Islands W
1 : 1
Vanuatu W
05 Mar
Vanuatu W
0 : 1
Fiji W
02 Mar
New Caledonia W
2 : 1
Vanuatu W
27 Feb
Papua New Guinea W
5 : 0
Vanuatu W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solomon Islands W 3 2 1 0 11:3 7
2 Fiji W 3 2 0 1 15:6 6
3 Papua New Guinea W 3 1 1 1 13:5 4
4 American Samoa W 3 0 0 3 1:26 0
Promotion - Olympic Games Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand W 3 3 0 0 14:0 9
2 Samoa W 3 2 0 1 3:6 6
3 Tonga W 3 1 0 2 2:6 3
4 Vanuatu W 3 0 0 3 1:8 0
Promotion - Olympic Games Women 2024 (Play Offs)