Sport Picks
Samora Correia vs Mortagua FC
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C game between Samora Correia and Mortagua FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Samora Correia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Mortagua FC carry the better recent record into this one.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Samora Correia taking it.
- Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Samora Correia | Mortagua FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Samora Correia Compare
Mortagua FC Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Mortagua FC let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Samora Correia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Mortagua FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Samora Correia scored in 59% of their last 27 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Samora Correia
(Home)Mortagua FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vitoria Sernache | 26 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 33:12 | 55 |
| 2 | Oliveira Hospital | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39:13 | 50 |
| 3 | Naval 1893 | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 36:23 | 48 |
| 4 | SB Castelo Branco | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 43:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Uniao Da Serra | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 38:27 | 44 |
| 6 | Mortagua FC | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 23:26 | 39 |
| 7 | Os Marialvas | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:28 | 36 |
| 8 | Fatima | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:29 | 32 |
| 9 | Lajense | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 37:37 | 32 |
| 10 | GD Peniche | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | 30 |
| 11 | Samora Correia | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 27:35 | 29 |
| 12 | Marinhense | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 20:38 | 24 |
| 13 | Electrico FC | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 33:62 | 19 |
| 14 | SC Lusitania | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:48 | 17 |