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Samorin vs Al-Gharafa

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Brahimi Y.
21' Event
Marek G.
86' Event
Simpore S.

AI Match Summary

Samorin in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samorin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Samorin
22%
Draws
18%
Al-Gharafa
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Samorin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Samorin average 1.75 goals a game right now, well clear of Al-Gharafa's 1.5.
  • Win probability leans Samorin's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Samorin Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Gharafa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samorin Al-Gharafa
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.83

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Samorin vs Al-Gharafa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samorin Compare

Top Goalscorer Marek G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simpore S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Al-Gharafa Compare

Top Goalscorer Brahimi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samorin 58 / 100
Al-Gharafa 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samorin Al-Gharafa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al-Gharafa conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Samorin's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Samorin has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Samorin VS Al-Gharafa
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.83
100% Over 1.5 67%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Samorin

(Home)
19 Jul
Samorin
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
10 Jul
Spartak Trnava
2 : 2
Samorin
08 Jul
Samorin
7 : 0
MSK Senec
27 Jun
Inter Bratislava
2 : 0
Samorin
20 Jun
Dun. Streda
2 : 3
Samorin
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Al-Gharafa

(Away)
19 Jul
Samorin
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
09 May
Al-Gharafa
4 : 1
Al-Sadd
05 May
Al Wakra
0 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 May
Al-Gharafa
2 : 1
Umm-Salal
27 Apr
Al-Gharafa
1 : 1
Al-Shahaniya
Page 1 of 6