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Samorin vs Al-Gharafa

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Brahimi Y.
21' Event
Marek G.
86' Event
Simpore S.

AI Match Summary

Samorin in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samorin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Samorin
15%
Draws
5%
Al-Gharafa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samorin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Samorin have won more games recently than Al-Gharafa.
  • Win probability leans Samorin's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Samorin Clean Sheet 20%
Al-Gharafa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samorin Al-Gharafa
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 16 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.78 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 Club Friendly
Samorin vs Al-Gharafa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Samorin Compare

Top Goalscorer Marek G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Simpore S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Gharafa Compare

Top Goalscorer Brahimi Y.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samorin 85 / 100
Al-Gharafa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samorin Al-Gharafa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samorin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al-Gharafa conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Samorin stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Samorin scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Samorin VS Al-Gharafa
2 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Samorin

(Home)
12 Sept
Samorin
3 : 2
Galanta
08 Sept
Raca
1 : 2
Samorin
05 Sept
Bytca
1 : 2
Samorin
29 Aug
Samorin
2 : 1
Zilina B
22 Aug
Povazska Bystrica
1 : 4
Samorin
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Al-Gharafa

(Away)
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
11 Sept
Al-Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
27 Aug
Al-Gharafa
1 : 3
Shamal
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