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Samorin vs FK Humenne

Slovakia Slovakia

Slovak Cup
Wed, Oct 14, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Slovak Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Samorin have averaged 1.9 scored and 1.07 conceded recently, against FK Humenne's 2.43 scored and 1.21 conceded. Head-to-head, Samorin have won 1 to FK Humenne's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.94) point toward Samorin. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Samorin
15%
Draws
18%
FK Humenne
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samorin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • FK Humenne haven't matched Samorin's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Samorin a 67% chance of winning this.
  • Samorin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Humenne, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Samorin Clean Sheet 20%
FK Humenne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Samorin FK Humenne
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 19 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.9 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 2. liga
Samorin vs FK Humenne
3:1
May 9, 2025 2. liga
FK Humenne vs Samorin
1:1
Oct 27, 2024 2. liga
Samorin vs FK Humenne
1:2
Mar 23, 2024 2. liga
FK Humenne vs Samorin
1:0
Sep 3, 2023 2. liga
Samorin vs FK Humenne
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Samorin 85 / 100
FK Humenne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Samorin FK Humenne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samorin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samorin went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Samorin scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

FK Humenne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Samorin VS FK Humenne
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Samorin

(Home)
26 Sept
Samorin
3 : 1
Zvolen
19 Sept
Presov
0 : 1
Samorin
12 Sept
Samorin
3 : 2
Galanta
08 Sept
Raca
1 : 2
Samorin
05 Sept
Bytca
1 : 2
Samorin
Page 1 of 6

FK Humenne

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Humenne
1 : 1
Inter Bratislava
12 Sept
Povazska Bystrica
2 : 1
FK Humenne
05 Sept
FK Humenne
0 : 1
Petrzalka
02 Sept
Stropkov
1 : 2
FK Humenne
29 Aug
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom
1 : 0
FK Humenne
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Zavazna Poruba 0
Kysucke Nove Mesto 2
Korna 0
Cadca 7
Ostrovany 2
Kendice 3
Druzstevnik Circ 0
Presov 3
Giraltovce 2
Bardejov 6
Zahradne 3
Vranov 4
Hronec 0
Filakovo 4
Lovca 0
Banska Bystrica 2
Bernolakovo 0
Raca 3
Rohoznik 0
Samorin 1
Druzstevnik Cicarovce 1
Stropkov 6
Snina 1
FK Humenne 2
Partizan Osrblie 1
Tatran Oravske Vesele 2
Oravska Jasenica 0
Povazska Bystrica 2
Hranovnica 1
Harichovce 2
SIM Raslavice 0
FC Kosice 5
Svaty Jur 5
Malinovo 1
Senkvice 0
Dunajska Luzna 4
Besenov 0
Nove Zamky 2
Nova Dedinka 1
Petrzalka 5
Kovarce 0
Sala 1
Jelka 1
Kostolne Kracany 2
Magura Vavrecka 2
SK Tvrdosin 0
Divina 0
Zilina 8
Borsky Mikulas 0
Belusa 2
Kopcany 1
Piestany 8
Rovnost Krajne 1
MSK Puchov 3
Stankovce 0
Spartak Trnava 3
Trebatice 0
Boleraz 3
Soporna 2
Malzenice 1
Visnove 0
Namestovo 4
Rosina 0
Bytca 2
Tomasov 3
Gabcikovo 1
Jakubov 1
Inter Bratislava 4
Geca 0
Spisska Nova Ves 4
Rudnany 0
Podbrezova 3
Cana 0
Lokomotiva Kosice 4
FK Kechnec 0
Slavia Kosice 3
Krasno 2
Podkonice 1
Jednota Banova 0
Trencin 6
Priehrada 1
Banik Prievidza 3
FC Topolcany 0
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom 5
Roznava 1
Spartak Medzev 2
Velke Kapusany 0
Michalovce 3
Dynamo Diviaky 1
Nova Bana 3
Priechod 0
Z. Moravce-Vrable 2
Slovan Halic 0
MSK Lucenec 5
Tomasovce 0
Komarno 5
Zitavany 1
Velke Ludince 4
Svaty Peter 0
Dun. Streda 13
Brezno 4
Kalinovo 1
Kovacova 0
Zvolen 4
Iskra Holic 1
Myjava 3
Vycapy Opatovce 1
Galanta 4
Vysoke Tatry 0
FK Poprad 2
Spisske Podhradie 0
Ruzomberok 5
Vinohrad Cebovce 0
Druzstevnik Latky 4
TJD Pribelce 1
FK Pohronie 3
Nitra-Dolne Krskany 0
Nitra 2
Nitra-Chrenova 0
Slovan Bratislava 8
FK 05 Levoca 3
Brezovica 2
Gerlachov 0
L. Mikulas 1
Kvasov 2
MSK Martin 5
AFC Nove Mesto 0
Skalica 1
1/32-finals
Kysucke Nove Mesto 1
Cadca 3
Kendice 0
Presov 8
Bardejov 1
Vranov 2
Filakovo 0
Banska Bystrica 2
Raca 1
Samorin 2
Stropkov 1
FK Humenne 2
Tatran Oravske Vesele 2
Povazska Bystrica 3
Harichovce 0
FC Kosice 7
Svaty Jur 2
Dunajska Luzna 1
Nove Zamky 4
Petrzalka 3
Sala 1
Kostolne Kracany 2
Magura Vavrecka 0
Zilina 5
Belusa 1
Piestany 2
MSK Puchov 1
Spartak Trnava 3
Boleraz 3
Soporna 1
Namestovo 1
Bytca 0
Tomasov 0
Inter Bratislava 1
Spisska Nova Ves 1
Podbrezova 2
Lokomotiva Kosice 3
Slavia Kosice 0
Krasno 0
Trencin 2
Banik Prievidza 1
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom 3
Spartak Medzev 0
Michalovce 2
Nova Bana 1
Z. Moravce-Vrable 2
MSK Lucenec 0
Komarno 2
Velke Ludince 3
Dun. Streda 2
Brezno 0
Zvolen 4
Myjava 2
Galanta 1
FK Poprad 0
Ruzomberok 2
Druzstevnik Latky 1
FK Pohronie 5
Nitra 1
Slovan Bratislava 3
FK 05 Levoca 0
L. Mikulas 2
MSK Martin 1
Skalica 4
1/16-finals
Cadca -
Presov -
Vranov -
Banska Bystrica -
Samorin -
FK Humenne -
Povazska Bystrica -
FC Kosice -
Svaty Jur -
Nove Zamky -
Kostolne Kracany -
Zilina -
Piestany -
Spartak Trnava -
Boleraz -
Namestovo -
Inter Bratislava -
Podbrezova -
Lokomotiva Kosice -
Trencin -
Banik Lehota pod Vtacnikom -
Michalovce -
Z. Moravce-Vrable -
Komarno -
Velke Ludince -
Zvolen -
Myjava -
Ruzomberok -
FK Pohronie -
Slovan Bratislava -
L. Mikulas -
Skalica -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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